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osint/p6: 2³ Pearl decomposition from a real COCA parse (D-DNV-2)
Composes the pieces #624 proved separately into one end-to-end path from text: real COCA Vocabulary → FSM parse → real SpoTriple → CausalEdge64 pack_v2 → SpoHead → SpoDistances::all_projections (the 8 Pearl masks). p6a: a real FSM-parsed S/P/O identity round-trips the CausalEdge64 carrier unchanged (extends P2's PRNG-index round-trip onto real words). p6b: the 8 projections run over a head built from a real parse; the 2³ ladder is monotone and the counterfactual (SPO) dominates (extends P3b's hand-set-cell amortization onto a real-derived head). The only stand-in is the distance palette — the trained centroid codebook is future work (E-V3-DEEPNSM-IS-THE-ENCODER-NOT-A-MIGRATION-1); the S/P/O identity landing is real, from the shipped FSM on committed COCA CSVs, so the load is CI-safe. STATUS_BOARD: D-DNV-2 → In PR (and D-DNV-1 → Shipped). Verified: cargo test --manifest-path crates/lance-graph-osint/Cargo.toml --test p6_real_coca_2cube — 2/2 green; p6 fmt + clippy clean. Pre-existing 1.95-toolchain clippy debt in sibling probes (p3b erasing_op, unused imports) left untouched — osint is a workspace-excluded crate, not in the main CI clippy gate. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01MLBnPuScZy6w9di2QEjsXM
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.claude/board/STATUS_BOARD.md

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| D-id | Title | Crate(s) | Status | Evidence |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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| D-DNV-1 | Gridlake carrier: `GridBatch::as_gridlake_columns``ndarray::simd::MultiLaneColumn` (i32 min/max, i64 sum, u64 count); the carrier the COCA `Cell` also rides | onebrc-probe (+ndarray) | In PR | lane-j feature pulls ndarray; 2 tests green (LE roundtrip cell-for-cell + unaligned-grid reject); lane_j.rs clippy-clean |
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| D-DNV-2 | deepnsm `SpoTriple``CausalEdge64` S/P/O+freq/conf → `MaterializedEdges`; run `nars_engine.all_projections()` (2³) over the COCA distance matrix | deepnsm + planner | Queued | buildable; extends #624 P3b |
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| D-DNV-1 | Gridlake carrier: `GridBatch::as_gridlake_columns``ndarray::simd::MultiLaneColumn` (i32 min/max, i64 sum, u64 count); the carrier the COCA `Cell` also rides | onebrc-probe (+ndarray) | Shipped (#641, error-type follow-up #642) | lane-j pulls ndarray; LE roundtrip + unaligned reject + typed GridlakeCarrierError |
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| D-DNV-2 | deepnsm `SpoTriple``CausalEdge64` S/P/O+freq/conf → `SpoHead`; run `nars_engine.all_projections()` (2³) end-to-end from a real COCA FSM parse | deepnsm + planner + causal-edge (osint probe) | In PR | `p6_real_coca_2cube.rs`: 2 tests green — real-parse S/P/O round-trips the edge carrier (extends P2), and the 2³ ladder holds on a real-derived head (extends P3b); palette is the documented codebook stand-in |
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| D-DNV-3 | arm-discovery as the 2nd proposer leg into one SpoStore (shares palette256 oracle) | arm-discovery + deepnsm | Blocked (ARM-JIRAK-FLOOR) | D-ARM-7 Jirak noise floor is the hard prereq |
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| D-DNV-4 | Episodic-witness tenant + `basin=family` wake (`witness_tombstone` calcify chain) | contract + arigraph | Blocked (own wave + probe) | no episodic-witness ValueTenant; calcify chain is `todo!()`; basin=family doc-only |
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//! P6 · D-DNV-2 — the SPO → `CausalEdge64` → 2³ Pearl decomposition, driven by a
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//! REAL deepnsm COCA FSM parse (not synthetic indices).
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//!
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//! The prior probes exercised the pieces on manufactured input: P2 packed PRNG
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//! palette indices into `CausalEdge64`; P3b ran `all_projections` on hand-set
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//! table cells. This probe closes the loop **end-to-end from text**:
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//!
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//! ```text
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//! real COCA text
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//! → Vocabulary::tokenize (real COCA word ranks)
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//! → Parser::parse (6-state FSM) → real SpoTriple (S, P, O ranks)
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//! → rank → centroid index → CausalEdge64::pack_v2 (the edge)
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//! → SpoHead → SpoDistances::all_projections (2³)
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//! ```
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//!
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//! The only stand-in is the distance palette — the trained centroid codebook is
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//! future work (`E-V3-DEEPNSM-IS-THE-ENCODER-NOT-A-MIGRATION-1`); the S/P/O
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//! **identity landing is real**, produced by the shipped FSM on real vocabulary.
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//! DeepNSM → V3 D-DNV-2 (`.claude/plans/deepnsm-v3-convergence-v1.md`). Extends
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//! #624 P2 (edge round-trip) and P3b (2³ amortization) onto real input.
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//!
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//! Integer-exact: the palette is a deterministic SplitMix64 fill, the parse is
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//! deterministic, no seed entropy. Real COCA CSVs are committed under
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//! `crates/deepnsm/word_frequency/`, so the load is CI-safe.
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use causal_edge::{CausalEdge64, CausalMask, PlasticityState};
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use deepnsm::parser::Parser;
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use deepnsm::Vocabulary;
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use lance_graph_planner::cache::nars_engine::{
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SpoDistances, SpoHead, ALL_MASKS, MASK_NONE, MASK_O, MASK_P, MASK_PO, MASK_S, MASK_SO, MASK_SPO,
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};
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use std::path::Path;
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mod common;
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use common::splitmix64;
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/// A deterministic symmetric 256×256 palette — the codebook stand-in, same
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/// shape p2/p3b use. Real trained centroids are future work (D-DNV-2 §stand-in).
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/// Zero on the diagonal (a centroid is distance 0 from itself), positive off it.
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fn synth_palette(seed: u64) -> Vec<u16> {
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let mut t = vec![0u16; 256 * 256];
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let mut s = seed;
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for a in 0..256usize {
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for b in (a + 1)..256usize {
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let v = 1 + (splitmix64(&mut s) % 60_000) as u16;
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t[a * 256 + b] = v;
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t[b * 256 + a] = v;
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}
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}
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t
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}
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fn nars() -> SpoDistances {
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SpoDistances {
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s_table: synth_palette(0x0700_0001),
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p_table: synth_palette(0x0700_0002),
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o_table: synth_palette(0x0700_0003),
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}
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}
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/// The COCA rank of the trained centroid the word lands on is future work; until
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/// the codebook is trained, a word's rank maps to a centroid by its low byte.
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/// Deterministic and total — the honest stand-in for `code = codebook(word)[k]`.
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fn centroid(rank: u16) -> u8 {
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(rank & 0xFF) as u8
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}
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/// Bridge a packed edge into the distance engine's head — the SAME palette
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/// indices, nothing else (the P2 join point, reused verbatim).
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fn head_of(e: CausalEdge64) -> SpoHead {
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let mut h = SpoHead::zero();
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h.s_idx = e.s_idx();
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h.p_idx = e.p_idx();
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h.o_idx = e.o_idx();
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h
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}
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/// Parse real text through the shipped COCA FSM and return the first SPO triple
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/// that carries an object, as `(subject, predicate, object)` real word ranks.
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fn first_real_triple(vocab: &Vocabulary, text: &str) -> (u16, u16, u16) {
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let toks = vocab.tokenize(text);
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let parsed = Parser::new().parse(&toks);
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let t = parsed
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.triples
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.iter()
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.find(|t| t.has_object())
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.expect("a real COCA sentence yields at least one SPO triple with an object");
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(t.subject(), t.predicate(), t.object())
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}
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fn load_vocab() -> Vocabulary {
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// osint CARGO_MANIFEST_DIR is crates/lance-graph-osint; the COCA CSVs live
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// in the sibling deepnsm crate.
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let dir = Path::new(env!("CARGO_MANIFEST_DIR")).join("../deepnsm/word_frequency");
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Vocabulary::load(&dir).expect("load committed COCA word_frequency CSVs")
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}
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fn idx(m: u8) -> usize {
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ALL_MASKS.iter().position(|&x| x == m).unwrap()
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}
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/// P6a — a real COCA parse's S/P/O identity survives the `CausalEdge64` carrier
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/// unchanged (extends P2's PRNG round-trip onto real, FSM-derived words).
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#[test]
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fn p6_real_coca_spo_round_trips_the_edge_carrier() {
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let vocab = load_vocab();
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let (s, p, o) = first_real_triple(&vocab, "The system resolves the reference.");
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let (si, pi, oi) = (centroid(s), centroid(p), centroid(o));
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let edge = CausalEdge64::pack_v2(
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si,
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pi,
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oi,
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200, // freq — Grok-grade truth ≈0.78, the COCA-wire stand-in
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163, // conf
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CausalMask::SPO,
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0,
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PlasticityState::ALL_FROZEN,
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);
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assert_eq!(edge.s_idx(), si, "real subject centroid round-trips");
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assert_eq!(edge.p_idx(), pi, "real predicate centroid round-trips");
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assert_eq!(edge.o_idx(), oi, "real object centroid round-trips");
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assert_eq!(edge.causal_mask(), CausalMask::SPO);
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assert_eq!(edge.frequency_u8(), 200);
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assert_eq!(edge.confidence_u8(), 163);
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}
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/// P6b — the 8 Pearl projections run over a head built from a REAL COCA parse,
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/// and the 2³ ladder is monotone with the counterfactual (SPO) dominating
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/// (extends P3b's hand-set-cell amortization onto real, FSM-derived heads).
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#[test]
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fn p6_real_coca_2cube_ladder_holds_on_a_real_parse() {
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let vocab = load_vocab();
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// Candidate = a real COCA FSM parse. Context = three high-frequency real
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// COCA words looked up by rank (guaranteed present in the top-4096 vocab) —
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// both heads are real COCA identities, no fragile second parse.
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let (cs, cp, co) = first_real_triple(&vocab, "The system resolves the reference.");
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let word_rank = |w: &str| {
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vocab
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.rank_of(w)
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.expect("common COCA word is in the top-4096 vocab")
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};
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let (xs, xp, xo) = (word_rank("time"), word_rank("people"), word_rank("world"));
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let cand = head_of(CausalEdge64::pack_v2(
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centroid(cs),
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centroid(cp),
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centroid(co),
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200,
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163,
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CausalMask::SPO,
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0,
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PlasticityState::ALL_FROZEN,
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));
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let ctx = head_of(CausalEdge64::pack_v2(
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centroid(xs),
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centroid(xp),
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centroid(xo),
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200,
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163,
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CausalMask::SPO,
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0,
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PlasticityState::ALL_FROZEN,
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));
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let d = nars();
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let proj = d.all_projections(&cand, &ctx);
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// Amortization + taxonomy: prior is 0; the counterfactual is the full sum.
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assert_eq!(proj[idx(MASK_NONE)], 0, "MASK_NONE = prior");
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assert_eq!(
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proj[idx(MASK_SPO)],
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proj[idx(MASK_S)] + proj[idx(MASK_P)] + proj[idx(MASK_O)],
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"MASK_SPO = counterfactual = the three marginals summed"
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);
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// The 2³ lattice is monotone: adding a plane never decreases the projection.
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assert!(proj[idx(MASK_NONE)] <= proj[idx(MASK_S)]);
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assert!(proj[idx(MASK_S)] <= proj[idx(MASK_SO)]);
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assert!(proj[idx(MASK_SO)] <= proj[idx(MASK_SPO)]);
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assert!(proj[idx(MASK_O)] <= proj[idx(MASK_PO)]);
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assert!(proj[idx(MASK_PO)] <= proj[idx(MASK_SPO)]);
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assert_eq!(
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proj[idx(MASK_SPO)],
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*proj.iter().max().unwrap(),
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"counterfactual dominates every sub-question on the real-derived head"
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);
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// The real FSM parse produced a genuine 3-role triple whose S and O landed on
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// distinct centroids, so Association (S+O) strictly exceeds its parts here —
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// the rung decomposition is doing real work, not collapsing to one number.
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if cand.s_idx != ctx.s_idx && cand.o_idx != ctx.o_idx {
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assert!(
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proj[idx(MASK_SO)] > proj[idx(MASK_S)],
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"Association adds the Object plane on top of the Subject plane"
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);
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assert!(
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proj[idx(MASK_SO)] > proj[idx(MASK_O)],
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"Association adds the Subject plane on top of the Object plane"
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);
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}
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}

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