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Duplicate info but okay for now I think
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docs/src/examples/calibration.md

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@@ -121,6 +121,28 @@ mKGE_score = Streamfall.mKGE(dam_obs[366:end], dam_sim[366:end])
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@info "Scores: " rmse_score nse_score mKGE_score
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f2 = quickplot(dam_obs, dam_sim, climate, "Modelled - 406000", false; burn_in=366)
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temporal_cross_section(sim_dates, calib_data[:, "406000"], sn2[3].level)
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```
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The last two lines produces the plots below
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![](../assets/calibrated_example.png)
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The `quickplot()` function creates the figure displayed above which shows dam levels on the
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left (observed and modelled) with a [Q-Q plot](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Q%E2%80%93Q_plot)
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on the right.
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![](../assets/temporal_xsection_historic_calibrated.png)
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The above shows a "cross-section" of model predictions for each month-day across simulation
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time. It is useful to gain an understanding on when models may underperform and give a
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sense of a models predictive uncertainty. The units of the y-axis are the same as for the
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node (in this case, meters).
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Ideally, the median error would be a straight line and the confidence intervals would
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be as thin and consistent as possible for all month-days.
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Here, we see that while performance is generally good (mean of Median Error is near zero),
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the model can under-estimate dam levels in late-April to May and displays a tendency to
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over-estimate dam levels between January and June, relative to other times.

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