Add OSINT/INTOP tradecraft standards methodology + align methodology & template READMEs with 23-artifact contract

.github/prompts/00-base-contract.md

@@ -32,7 +32,8 @@ Before producing any analysis or article content, the agent MUST have read:
 
 1. This module (`00-base-contract.md`) and every imported sibling module for the workflow.
 2. [`analysis/methodologies/ai-driven-analysis-guide.md`](../../analysis/methodologies/ai-driven-analysis-guide.md) — DIW weighting, tier depths, Pass 1 / Pass 2 rules.
-3. Every template file referenced by `04-analysis-pipeline.md` (the 9 core artifacts) — and for Tier-C workflows, the additional 5 templates referenced by `ext/tier-c-aggregation.md` (executive brief, scenario analysis, comparative international, methodology reflection, per-run README).
+3. [`analysis/methodologies/osint-tradecraft-standards.md`](../../analysis/methodologies/osint-tradecraft-standards.md) — **tradecraft canon**: ICD 203 (9 standards), Admiralty Code (`[A-F][1-6]` → 5-level confidence), WEP / Kent Scale (7 bands with EN + SV phrasing, 4 horizons), SAT catalog (≥ 10 techniques attested in `methodology-reflection.md`), OSINT ethics (GDPR Art. 9 / Offentlighetsprincipen), DIW–Admiralty reconciliation, PIR handoff (standing PIR-1…7 + Tier-C continuity contract). Every evidence citation, every confidence marker, and every `methodology-reflection.md §ICD 203 audit` derives from this document.
+4. Every template file referenced by `04-analysis-pipeline.md` — the **23 always-on artifacts** spanning Family A (Core Synthesis, 9 files incl. `executive-brief.md`), Family B (Structural Metadata, 2 files), Family C (Strategic Extensions — F3EAD Exploit→Analyze, 5 files incl. `methodology-reflection.md` ⭐), Family D (Electoral & Domain Lenses — F3EAD Analyze-continued, 7 files), plus Family E (per-document `{dok_id}-analysis.md`). Tier-C workflows additionally apply the period-scope multipliers and cross-type synthesis rules in `ext/tier-c-aggregation.md` — they do **not** add new files (all 23 are mandatory for every workflow).
 
 No article sentence may be drafted until every required analysis artifact exists on disk and the gate in `05-analysis-gate.md` reports pass.
 
@@ -47,7 +48,7 @@ Analysis Pass 1 → Pass 1 snapshot → Analysis Pass 2 → Analysis Gate →
 Stage analysis → Commit → ONE create_pull_request (analysis-only)
 ```
 
-**Run 2 — Articles** (when `$ANALYSIS_DIR` already contains all 9 core artifacts):
+**Run 2 — Articles** (when `$ANALYSIS_DIR` already contains all 23 required artifacts and the gate in `05-analysis-gate.md` passes):
 ```
 MCP pre-warm → Detect existing analysis → Read all artifacts into context →
 Optionally check for new data → Article Pass 1 → Article Pass 2 →

.github/prompts/03-data-download.md

@@ -7,20 +7,25 @@ Run this check as the **first action** after MCP pre-warm, before any download:
 ```bash
 ANALYSIS_DIR="analysis/daily/$ARTICLE_DATE/$SUBFOLDER"
 
-# 9 core artifacts required by every workflow
-REQ=(synthesis-summary.md swot-analysis.md risk-assessment.md threat-analysis.md \
-     stakeholder-perspectives.md significance-scoring.md classification-results.md \
-     cross-reference-map.md data-download-manifest.md)
-
-# Tier-C workflows require 5 additional artifacts (evening-analysis, week-ahead,
-# month-ahead, weekly-review, monthly-review, realtime-*, deep-inspection).
-# See ext/tier-c-aggregation.md for the full list.
-case "$SUBFOLDER" in
-  evening-analysis|week-ahead|month-ahead|weekly-review|monthly-review|deep-inspection|realtime-*)
-    REQ+=(README.md executive-brief.md scenario-analysis.md \
-          comparative-international.md methodology-reflection.md)
-    ;;
-esac
+# 23 required artifacts (Families A+B+C+D) — every workflow, every run
+REQ=(
+  # Family A — Core Synthesis (9)
+  README.md executive-brief.md synthesis-summary.md significance-scoring.md \
+  classification-results.md swot-analysis.md risk-assessment.md \
+  threat-analysis.md stakeholder-perspectives.md \
+  # Family B — Structural Metadata (2)
+  data-download-manifest.md cross-reference-map.md \
+  # Family C — Strategic Extensions (5)
+  scenario-analysis.md comparative-international.md devils-advocate.md \
+  intelligence-assessment.md methodology-reflection.md \
+  # Family D — Electoral & Domain Lenses (7)
+  election-2026-analysis.md voter-segmentation.md coalition-mathematics.md \
+  historical-parallels.md media-framing-analysis.md \
+  implementation-feasibility.md forward-indicators.md)
+
+# Tier-C workflows add no new files — all 23 are already mandatory. What Tier-C
+# adds is the cross-type synthesis + period multipliers enforced by
+# ext/tier-c-aggregation.md and the gate in 05-analysis-gate.md.
 
 SKIP_ANALYSIS=false
 ALL_PRESENT=true