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<!DOCTYPE html>
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<meta name="description" content="Comprehensive AGI Risk Analysis">
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<meta name="author" content="Forrest Landry">
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<title>Comprehensive AGI Risk Analysis</title>
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<p>
TITL:
<b>IDM based AGI/APS X-Risk Response</b>
<b>By Forrest Landry</b>
<b>Oct 4th, 2022</b>.
</p>
<p>
ABST:
- where answers to key questions
as given/known from within the context
of the Immanent Metaphysics.
</p>
<p>
TEXT:
</p>
<p>
- where in another essay (@ "APS Details" https://mflb.com/ai_alignment_1/aps_detail_out.html);
that three important questions were asked.
- as questions which are considered primary relevant
to understanding the actual degree of AGI x-risk.
- that these questions are restated here,
along with the relevant IM responses/answers,
as given from within that context.
</p>
<p>
- where it is acknowledged that the means and methods
of assessment/response to these questions will likely/largely
be unfamiliar to nearly all readers,
and that therefore, there can be questions
as to what actually is established thereby:.
- that these responses are provided here
more for the sake of completeness
and for the actual absolute fullness of reasoning,
insofar as the basis used for these assessments below,
though it may not already be in itself obvious,
are much more directly tied to
the very foundations of epistemological process itself,
and thus actually have a <b>very</b> much higher
overall proof value
than any other means would ever ultimately suggest.
</p>
<p>
- that the methods and tools of evaluation and review
that I might have available to me
are generally unlikely to overlap and be common with
the tools and methods of evaluation/insight/reason
that others might have.
- as that each person has their own heuristics
and toolkit of intellectual reasoning methods,
as a kind of language of insight
native to themselves.
- ie; as considering (@ "Presumptive Listening" https://mflb.com/ai_alignment_1/presumptive_listening_out.html).
</p>
<p>
- that the fact of their being used
majority unknown tools and methods
does not in itself imply any failure
to express active valid reasoning.
- where the Axioms and the modalities
are directly expressions of the very basis of:.
- <b>ontology</b>, as about being/truth;..
- <b>epistemology</b>, as knowing/proof; and;.
- <b>axiology</b>, as the ultimate basis of value;.
- ^; all of which are intrinsically required
for any assessment of x-risk.
- ie; ?; can we actually protect
that which we all (at least implicitly)
hold as most valued, most sacred, most relevant?.
- than/that/therefore these methods/tools
are simply structurally more relevant than
most other methods of arguing about these ideas
could ever even possibly be.
</p>
<p>
- that sometimes, with some tools/methods,
that the overall result is much easier to obtain --
that some tools/methods, and/or domains of operation
are simply more well suited to certain tasks than others.
- that it is better to just use the right tool
for the right kind of job.
- that the simplicity of the application
and/or the ease by which relevant connections are made,
is not in itself an indicator
of anything against of their actual validity.
- that although the work be easier,
that in itself is not an absense of 'showing the work',
ie; of showing the reasoning involved.
</p>
<p>
- that it is sometimes incumbent on the reader/reviewer
to come to know and understand the tools themselves,
especially if they are new,
especially if they are relevant/useful
in important and/or otherwise unexpected
key, critical, and essential ways.
</p>
<p>
- that it is only <b>sometimes</b> partially possible,
for the convenience of the reader/reviewer,
that their existing native tools/methods/understandings
can be used/adapted to the proof purposes
that are actually needed
so as to construct an 'also valid parallel path'
from what is currently known/believed
to what is currently unknown, yet essential,
and not <b>yet</b> believed to be the case.
- that such adaptations and alternate forms
of establishing the validity/proof
of the same truth outcomes
will be attempted, when and as possible,
whenever possible.
- as expressive of the needs/ethics
of the situation itself; ie; mitigating x-risk.
</p>
<p>
- where regardless of the proof method,
the same outcome/result should be obtained.
- as to have an absence of contradiction.
- where herein as stated;
that each of these three questions
are structurally strictly isomorphs of one another.
- that each of the different phrasings
gives access to different ways
of being able to know/prove the response.
- that therefore the outcome answer (yes/no)
to any one of them <b>should</b> be the same
as for any of the others.
- that each of the different ways of arriving
at the same outcome therefore strongly <b>reinforces</b>
the degree to which the actual outcome/answer
can be epistemically trusted to be correct.
- as inherently providing multiple distinct
overlapping means/methods of establishing a truth.
</p>
<p>
:avs
- where listing the three AGI x-risk questions:.
</p>
<p>
- Q1; ?; is there <b>any</b> chance at all, over time,
that processes/changes of/in/within the 1st order (immanent)
do not eventually (cannot not) result in
process/changes/capability
in/of/within dynamics of the 2nd order (omniscient),
and/or thus eventually of dynamics of
the 3rd order (transcendent)?.
</p>
<p>
- ^; no; ie; that there is exactly zero chance
of this cycle of Axiom II <b>not</b>
closing/completing <b>eventually</b>.
- where Axiom II has been elsewhere shown
to exactly descriptive the fundamental
and most essential nature of all process,
and common to all process, and concepts of process,
inclusive of all epistemic process,
(as observed/abstracted),
that the tautology of "process will happen"
and "all process is process",
and "all is process; there are no things"
will fundamentally also apply.
</p>
<p>
- Q2; ?; is there any possibility that some engineering method
(as technique operating purely in the omniscient)
could somehow inhibit the immanent 1st order process
from eventually impacting 2nd order omniscient process?.
</p>
<p>
- ^; no; the omniscient by itself, as the complicated,
cannot ever fully and completely
contain/constrain the complex/immanent,
indefinitely.
- as considering Cynefin framework intrinsics
and also as per the intrinsic nature
of the referenced modalities themselves,
their known and validated correspondances,
the nature of what is meant by the concept of "soundness"
when considering proof scope of application, relevance etc.
</p>
<p>
- Q3; ?; is there any possibility that some engineering method
(as technique operating purely in the omniscient)
could somehow inhibit other system process also operating
in the omniscient (as learning/adapting systems
and thus so inherently, self modifying systems)
from eventually having/being/operating/becoming
in transcendent ways (ie, of shifting environment/context)?.
</p>
<p>
- ^; no; nothing in the total class of the omniscient
can ever actually inhibit/constrain/conditionalize
anything in the class of the the transcendent --
that nothing in existence can inhibit/resist creation.
- as per the intrinsic nature
of the referenced modalities themselves;
and also the definition/theory of creation, etc.
</p>
<p>
- where the answers to any/all of the questions Q1/Q2/Q3
is/are 'no';.
- that/therefore it is far better to <b>not</b> use/permit
(or even seek to develop, experiment with, etc)
<b>any</b> form of generalized AI and/or APS.
</p>
</body>
</html>