+ Executive Summary
+ Purpose: Provide a regulator-ready, treaty-aligned, formally-verifiable governance framework for global AI systemic risk in financial services and planetary-scale civilizational governance, integrating CEGL, LexAI-DSL, FV-LexAI, the GASRGP/GASC/GAISM treaty stack, the Global Trust Index and Trust Derivatives Layer, central-bank/IMF integration, the Global Deliberation Protocol, and engineering deployment blueprints.
+ Approach: Layered architecture (Codex → Treaties → LexAI-DSL → FV-LexAI → Supervisory plane → Operational plane → Citizen plane), proof-carrying bundles, Treaty Ledger WORM, sortition-based deliberation, federated supervisory drills, and PQC-hybrid trust roots.
+ Deliverables: 14 modules · schemas · code examples · case studies · 24 supervisory KPIs · treaty-article mapping · regulator integration list · runbooks · briefing decks · data flows · privacy spec · traceability matrix · deployment considerations · roadmap 2026-2035.
+ Outcomes
+ - Sub-60 s kill-switch propagation with multisig and treaty SLA
- Cross-border mutual recognition under GASRGP Art 14
- AI Capital Overlay calibrated to GTI sub-indices
- Citizen-plane legitimacy through stratified sortition
- Treaty-anchored auditability with Merkle-anchored Treaty Ledger
- Quantum-safe coverage by 2030
+ Builds On
+ WP-035 ENT-AGI-GOV-MASTERWP-036 WFAP-GEMINI-IMPLWP-037 GSIFI-AIMS-BLUEPRINTWP-038 AGI-REG-RESILIENTWP-039 INST-AGI-MASTERWP-040 ENT-AGI-REF-IMPLWP-041 TIER13-FULLSTACKWP-042 SENTINEL-V24-DEEPDIVEWP-043 PROMPT-MGMT-ARCH
+ Counts
+
+ Regimes Aligned
+ EU AI Act 2026 (Arts 5/9/10/13/14/50/53/55/56)NIST AI RMF 1.0 + Generative AI ProfileISO/IEC 42001 (AIMS)ISO/IEC 23894 / 5338 / 38507GDPR Arts 5/22/25/35Basel III/IV (BCBS 239 risk data aggregation)SR 11-7 (US Fed Model Risk Management)FCA Consumer Duty / SMCRPRA SS1/23 (model risk)MAS FEAT Principles + AI VerifyHKMA SPM GS-1 / GL-90SEC AI rules (broker-dealer/investment-adviser proposals)FDIC AI GuidanceOECD AI Principles 2024G7 Hiroshima AI Process Code of ConductUN GA Resolution A/78/L.49 (AI for SDGs)Council of Europe AI Convention (Framework Convention)FSB recommendations on AI in financial services
+
+
+
+ Modules (14)
+
+
+ M1 — CEGL Conceptual Framework & Civilizational Codex Meta-Governance
+ Civilizational Ethical Governance Layer (CEGL) — the meta-governance substrate for planetary-scale AI systems, anchored to a Civilizational Codex of axioms, principles, and red lines.
+ CEGLCivilizational Codexaxiomsred linesmeta-governance
+ M1-S1 — Mission & Scope
| mission | Provide a regulator-ready, treaty-aligned, formally-verifiable governance substrate for AI systems that pose systemic or civilizational risk, integrating financial-services prudential supervision with planetary-scale civilizational governance. |
|---|
| scope | - Frontier AGI/ASI capability classes (foundation models > GPAI threshold)
- G-SIFI / G-SII AI deployments (credit, trading, insurance, AML, fiduciary advisory)
- Cross-border data, compute, and model artifact flows
- Public-good and public-sector AI used at planetary scale (climate, pandemic, infra)
|
|---|
| outOfScope | - Purely consumer recommender systems below GPAI thresholds
- Local research-only sandboxes with no production exposure
|
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M1-S2 — CEGL Layered Stack
- L0 Civilizational Codex (axioms, red lines, dignity, sovereignty, ecological integrity)
- L1 Treaty Stack (GASRGP, GASC, GAISM)
- L2 LexAI-DSL Normative Layer (machine-readable law, controls, conflict-of-laws)
- L3 FV-LexAI Formal-Verification Layer (proofs, model checking, property tests)
- L4 Supervisory Plane (regulators, central banks, IMF, FSB, treaty authority)
- L5 Operational Plane (G-SIFIs, model providers, compute hosts, registries)
- L6 Citizen Plane (Global Deliberation Protocol, participatory legitimacy)
M1-S3 — Civilizational Codex — 12 Axioms (excerpt)
- A1 Human dignity and inalienable rights take precedence over efficiency.
- A2 No autonomous lethal targeting; humans retain meaningful control over force.
- A3 Critical infrastructure must remain controllable under degraded AI conditions.
- A4 Catastrophic and existential risks require precautionary, irreversibility-aware controls.
- A5 Privacy by design and data minimization are non-negotiable.
- A6 Non-discrimination across protected and proxy attributes.
- A7 Transparency commensurate with risk; provenance and disclosure for synthetic media.
- A8 Plurality and contestability — no single jurisdiction dominates norm-setting unilaterally.
- A9 Ecological integrity and intergenerational fairness.
- A10 Compute and model lifecycles must be auditable and accountable.
- A11 Crisis controllability — kill-switch, containment, rollback are first-class.
- A12 Legitimacy through participation — affected publics must have voice in shaping norms.
M1-S4 — Red Lines (hard prohibitions)
- Autonomous nuclear, biological, chemical, or radiological release decisions
- Mass surveillance scoring of populations without rule-of-law protections
- Manipulative AI targeting cognitive vulnerabilities of children/elderly
- Replacement of judicial sentencing with autonomous AI
- Deceptive impersonation of public officials by AI
- Self-replication beyond authorized compute and jurisdiction
M1-S5 — Why a Codex Layer is Necessary
- Cross-border conflict-of-laws creates regulatory arbitrage; a Codex provides a common normative anchor.
- Civilizational risks are non-actuarial; pure capital-based regulation is insufficient.
- Treaty law must be machine-readable to enable real-time supervisory enforcement.
- Legitimacy of frontier AI rules requires citizen-plane input, not only regulator-plane.
M2 — LexAI-DSL: Machine-Readable Law for AI Systems
+ A domain-specific language for expressing legal obligations, controls, conflict-of-laws, and remedies as executable, auditable artifacts.
+ DSLmachine-readable lawcontrolsconflict-of-lawsremedies
+ M2-S1 — Design Goals
- Bridges natural-language law and runtime policy enforcement
- Supports parallel obligations across jurisdictions with declared precedence
- Compiles to OPA/Rego, Cedar, Datalog, and Lean/Coq proof obligations
- Versioned, signed, hash-chained; every clause has a SHA-256 identity
M2-S2 — Core Constructs
- obligation { id, source, predicate, subject, object, temporal, remedy, conflict_priority }
- permission { id, source, conditions, sunset }
- prohibition { id, source, scope, exceptions, enforcement_class }
- definition { term, meaning, jurisdiction, version }
- evidence_requirement { id, controlRef, artifactType, signing, retention }
- remedy { id, classes[], severity, repair_action, restitution }
M2-S3 — Conflict-of-Laws Resolver
| approach | Lattice of jurisdictions + lex superior/posterior/specialis rules; explicit precedence override by treaty article |
|---|
| deterministic | Resolver is a pure function over (clauseSet, context) → decision; replayable under FV-LexAI proof |
|---|
M2-S4 — Authoring & Lifecycle
- Drafted by joint counsel + AI ethicists + technical SMEs
- Signed by designated authority of source jurisdiction
- Hash-chained to Treaty Ledger; rollouts via signed bundles
- Sunset clauses default ON unless renewed; audited annually
M2-S5 — Example LexAI-DSL Clause (excerpt)
- obligation EU_AIACT_ART14_OVERSIGHT {
- source: 'EU AI Act 2026 Art 14',
- subject: provider | deployer,
- predicate: ensure_human_oversight(system, controls = ['stop','override','review']),
- temporal: continuous,
- evidence: [DecisionEnvelope, OverrideLog],
- remedy: REM_HUMAN_OVERSIGHT_RESTORE,
- conflict_priority: 90
- }
M3 — FV-LexAI: Formal Verification of LexAI-DSL Properties
+ Formal-methods layer that proves safety, liveness, and conformance properties over LexAI-DSL bundles and runtime control planes.
+ formal verificationmodel checkingproperty testsproofs
+ M3-S1 — Property Catalogue (sample)
- P1 Safety: no run reaches 'release' state without human-oversight evidence (Art 14)
- P2 Liveness: every run eventually emits a Decision Envelope with provenance
- P3 Non-discrimination: bounded disparate impact over protected attributes ≤ ε
- P4 Consistency: conflict-of-laws resolver is deterministic and total
- P5 Containment: kill-switch propagation ≤ 60 s under partial-failure model
- P6 Privacy: PII does not appear in audit payloads (only HMAC pseudonyms)
- P7 Reversibility: no irreversible action without N-eyes co-sign + cool-down
M3-S2 — Tooling
| modelChecking | TLA+ / Apalache for protocol-level invariants |
|---|
| theoremProving | Lean 4 / Coq for Codex axioms and resolver totality |
|---|
| smtSolver | Z3 / CVC5 for clause satisfiability and conflict detection |
|---|
| runtimeMonitors | Differential property monitors emit SEV events on violation |
|---|
| fuzzers | Property-based fuzzing on policy bundles (Hypothesis / Proptest) |
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M3-S3 — Continuous Verification Pipeline
- Every signed LexAI bundle triggers FV-LexAI CI: parse → typecheck → SMT → model-check → proof-replay
- Failure blocks bundle deployment globally; signed proof artifacts archived to WORM
- Quarterly red-team verification by independent AI Safety Institute
M3-S4 — Proof-Carrying Bundles
| format | PCB { bundleHash, properties[], proofArtifacts[], verifierSignatures[], expiry } |
|---|
| distribution | PCBs signed by Treaty Authority + AI Safety Institute; sidecars verify before activation |
|---|
M4 — Treaty Stack: GASRGP, GASC, GAISM
+ Three interlocking treaty instruments forming the global AI systemic-risk governance protocol, AI Safety Convention, and AI Stability Mechanism.
+ GASRGPGASCGAISMtreaties
+ M4-S1 — GASRGP — Global AI Systemic Risk Governance Protocol
| purpose | Set baseline obligations for frontier AI systems with cross-border systemic impact (financial + civilizational). |
|---|
| keyArticles | - Art 1 Definitions (Frontier Model, Systemic Importance, Compute Threshold)
- Art 4 Pre-deployment evaluation & registration
- Art 7 Cross-border incident reporting (≤ 24 h SEV-1)
- Art 11 Compute governance & licensing of >10^26 FLOP training runs
- Art 14 Mutual recognition of supervisory drill outcomes
- Art 18 Treaty-anchored kill-switch obligations
|
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M4-S2 — GASC — Global AI Safety Convention
| purpose | Bind signatories to red-line prohibitions and rights protections (analogous to chemical/biological conventions). |
|---|
| keyArticles | - Art 2 Prohibition on autonomous lethal force decisions
- Art 5 Prohibition on manipulative cognitive targeting
- Art 9 Provenance & disclosure for synthetic media at scale
- Art 12 Independent verification and inspection rights
|
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M4-S3 — GAISM — Global AI Stability Mechanism
| purpose | IMF/FSB-anchored macroprudential mechanism for AI-driven systemic financial risk; provides liquidity, capital overlays, and resolution tools. |
|---|
| instruments | - AI Capital Overlay (RWA add-on for high-risk model exposures)
- AI Liquidity Facility (24-72 h backstop during AI-induced market stress)
- AI Resolution Authority (recovery, resolution of AI-coupled failures)
- Cross-Border AI Stress Test (annual, BCBS 239 + AI dimension)
|
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M4-S4 — Interactions & Precedence
- GASC red lines have lex superior over GASRGP economic provisions
- GAISM macroprudential measures complement GASRGP supervisory tools
- All three instruments encode their clauses in LexAI-DSL with hash-chained identity
M4-S5 — Pilot Treaties & Sunrise Clauses
- Pilot 1 (2026-2027): EU + UK + US + Japan + Singapore — voluntary GASRGP Annex on incident reporting and compute disclosure
- Pilot 2 (2027-2028): Joint EU-UK-US AI Stress Test under GAISM observer status
- Sunrise: full GAISM activation when ≥ 8 G20 jurisdictions ratify AI Capital Overlay schedule
M5 — Global Trust Index (GTI) & Trust Derivatives Layer (TDL)
+ Quantitative index of AI system trustworthiness with derivative instruments for risk transfer; integrates with central-bank capital and IMF surveillance.
+ GTITDLtrust derivativescapital overlaysurveillance
+ M5-S1 — GTI Composition
| subIndices | - TI-Safety (containment, kill-switch responsiveness, incident-free uptime)
- TI-Fairness (disparate-impact bounds, contestability rate)
- TI-Privacy (PII leakage, DSAR turnaround, pseudonymization coverage)
- TI-Robustness (adversarial robustness, distributional drift)
- TI-Transparency (explainability ratio, provenance coverage)
- TI-Accountability (audit chain integrity, reviewer independence)
|
|---|
| weighting | Sector-specific weights (banking 0.35 safety + 0.25 accountability + ...); reviewed annually by FSB |
|---|
| publication | Tiered: anonymized public dashboard; institution-level to supervisors; provider-level to AISI |
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M5-S2 — Computation & Attestation
- Inputs are hash-chained Decision Envelopes + supervisory attestations; no self-attestation only
- Independent evaluators sign sub-index calculations; multi-evaluator quorum required
- Daily Merkle anchor to Treaty Ledger and (optionally) public chain
M5-S3 — Trust Derivatives Layer (TDL)
| instruments | - Trust-Linked Bond (TLB) — coupon steps when GTI breaches sector floor
- Trust Default Swap (TDS) — credit-default-swap-like protection on AI-induced losses
- Capital Overlay Swap — exchanges static RWA add-on for GTI-linked variable overlay
- AI Resilience Bond — sovereign issuance to fund GAISM facility
|
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| marketStructure | Cleared through CCPs with AI risk margining; supervised by ECB/SEC/MAS jointly under TDL Charter |
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| guardrails | Position limits per institution; ban on writing protection by entities below GTI floor; circuit breakers on TDL spreads ≥ X bps |
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M5-S4 — Central-Bank & IMF Integration
- ECB / Fed / BoE / BoJ / PBoC / MAS use GTI as input to AI Capital Overlay calibration
- IMF Article IV surveillance includes GTI trajectory and TDL exposure at country level
- FSB AI Vulnerabilities Report cites GTI heatmap quarterly
M6 — Federated Supervisory Drills & Cross-Border AI Stress Tests
+ Coordinated, annual federated simulations across regulators and G-SIFIs that exercise containment, resolution, communication, and citizen-plane pathways.
+ drillsstress testsfederated simulationscenarios
+ M6-S1 — Drill Catalogue
- DR-01 LEVEL-5 Containment Breach (foundation model deceptive alignment)
- DR-02 Cross-Border Trading Anomaly (AI-driven flash event across 3 jurisdictions)
- DR-03 Synthetic-Media Bank Run (deepfake CEO triggers run on G-SIB)
- DR-04 Cyber-Physical Critical-Infrastructure AI Compromise (energy / payments)
- DR-05 Cross-Border Data Sovereignty Crisis (model weights subpoena conflict)
- DR-06 Climate-Finance AI Misalignment (systemic mispricing of transition risk)
M6-S2 — Architecture
| controlPlane | Joint Drill Operations Center (J-DOC) federated across regulators |
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| dataPlane | Synthetic markets + sandboxed model replicas; no production funds at risk |
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| comms | Rehearsed signed-bulletin channels between supervisors, treaty authority, AISI, and CCPs |
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| scoring | Time-to-contain, MTTR, kill-switch latency, citizen-plane comms quality, market-stability metrics |
|---|
M6-S3 — Stress-Test Methodology
- Severity tiers calibrated to GAISM AI-shock scenarios (Adverse / Severely Adverse / Apocalyptic)
- Models: agent-based market sim + LLM-driven counterparties + macro overlay
- Capital and liquidity impact under AI-coupled tail; reverse stress to find first failure
- Lessons codified in updated LexAI-DSL bundles within 90 days
M6-S4 — Mutual Recognition & Sharing
- Drill outcomes signed by participating supervisors; mutually recognized under GASRGP Art 14
- Shared via Treaty Ledger with redacted public summaries
- Independent observers from civil society and AISI ensure legitimacy
M7 — Regulator-Facing Briefing Decks & Communication Strategy
+ Standardized briefing templates and a multi-stakeholder communication strategy for supervisors, central banks, IMF, treaty parties, and the public.
+ briefingsdeckscommsnarratives
+ M7-S1 — Briefing Deck Templates (sample)
- BD-01 Heads-of-State briefing (10 slides, 15 min) — strategic posture & treaty status
- BD-02 Central-Bank Governor briefing — GTI heatmap, GAISM facility status, AI Capital Overlay
- BD-03 IMF Article IV / FSB plenary briefing — country GTI trajectory, TDL exposure
- BD-04 G-SIFI Board briefing — adversarial findings, kill-switch drills, capital impact
- BD-05 Parliamentary committee briefing — rights, contestability, citizen oversight
- BD-06 Public press briefing — plain-language risk and mitigations
M7-S2 — Narrative Architecture
- Anchor on Codex axioms (dignity, controllability, legitimacy) before metrics
- Use precedent analogies (financial crisis, biosafety, aviation safety) sparingly and accurately
- Distinguish 'what we know', 'what we don't know', 'what we are doing'
- Always include rights, redress, and contestability pathways for citizens
M7-S3 — Crisis Communication Playbook
- T+0 holding statement within 30 min of SEV-0/1 incident
- Coordinated bulletins across supervisors, providers, and treaty authority
- Plain-language disclosures with provenance; signed and timestamped
- Counter-deepfake protocol with verified press cryptographic signatures
M7-S4 — Stakeholder Map
- Regulators: ECB, PRA, FCA, MAS, HKMA, SEC, FDIC, OCC, CFTC, JFSA
- Multilaterals: IMF, FSB, BIS, OECD, UN, COE
- Industry: G-SIFI boards, model providers, CCPs, exchanges
- Civic: Parliaments, civil-society, academia, AI Safety Institutes
M8 — Global Deliberation Protocol (GDP-AI) & Participatory Legitimacy
+ Mechanism for citizen-plane participation in AI norm-setting through stratified deliberative juries, public consultations, and binding sortition panels.
+ deliberationsortitionlegitimacyparticipation
+ M8-S1 — Why a Citizen Plane
- AI rules implicate fundamental rights; democratic legitimacy is required for hard prohibitions and contestable trade-offs
- Stakeholder capture risk if only providers and regulators set norms
- Cross-border instruments require cross-cultural, cross-class participation
M8-S2 — Mechanism Design
- Stratified random sampling (sortition) across age, gender, region, income
- Deliberation in 3 rounds: learning → discussion → decision; AI-assisted but not AI-decided
- Outputs feed LexAI-DSL drafts as 'Citizen Recommendations' with traceable amendments
- Veto-light: panels may flag a clause for parliamentary review (not unilateral veto)
M8-S3 — Anti-Manipulation Safeguards
- All inputs to panels signed and provenance-tagged; deepfake screening at input
- Independent fact-checking ombud; right of reply across viewpoints
- No targeted persuasion; AI tools used only for translation and summarization
M8-S4 — Cadence & Funding
- Annual global panel + on-demand panels for novel high-risk capabilities
- Funding via Treaty Authority levy on frontier-model providers; ring-fenced budget
- Independent secretariat with rotating chairs from civil society
M9 — Engineering Reference Architecture & APIs
+ Reference architecture, service decomposition, APIs, schemas, and trust roots that operationalize CEGL/LexAI-DSL/FV-LexAI globally.
+ architectureAPIsschemastrust roots
+ M9-S1 — Service Decomposition
- codex-svc (Civilizational Codex registry, hash-chained axioms)
- lexai-svc (LexAI-DSL parser, typecheck, conflict resolver, bundle issuer)
- fv-lexai-svc (FV pipeline: SMT, model-check, proof-replay)
- treaty-ledger-svc (append-only, hash-chained ledger of treaty events)
- gti-svc (Global Trust Index computation & attestation)
- tdl-svc (Trust Derivatives Layer reference data & valuation feeds)
- drill-svc (Federated drill orchestration)
- deliberation-svc (sortition panels, voting integrity)
- supervisor-gateway-svc (regulator integration: ECB/PRA/FCA/MAS/HKMA/SEC/FDIC)
- kill-switch-svc (multisig containment propagation)
M9-S2 — API Surface (excerpt)
- POST /lexai/bundles { dsl, signatures } → bundleHash
- GET /lexai/bundles/:hash → bundle + PCB
- POST /fv/verify { bundleHash, properties[] } → proofArtifacts[]
- POST /treaty/ledger/events { type, payload, sigs[] } → eventId, merkleProof
- GET /gti/{institutionId} → { score, subIndices, asOf, attestations[] }
- POST /drills/scenarios/{id}/start → drillId
- POST /killswitch/invoke { scope, reason, cosignatures[] } → status
- POST /deliberation/panels { topic } → panelId
- GET /supervisor/{regulatorId}/dashboards → dashboards[]
M9-S3 — Schemas (canonical)
- TreatyEvent { id, type, payload, sigs[], merkleProof, prevHash, thisHash, ts }
- LexAIBundle { hash, dsl, sigs[], pcb?, sunset?, version }
- ProofArtifact { propertyId, prover, proofRef, verifierSigs[] }
- GTIRecord { institutionId, score, subIndices, asOf, attestations[] }
- DrillRun { id, scenarioId, participants[], scores, lessonsLexAI[] }
M9-S4 — Trust Roots & PKI
- Treaty Authority Root CA (HSM-backed, FIPS 140-3 L4)
- Per-jurisdiction Sub-CAs for supervisors and AISI
- Provider CAs with HSM-backed signing keys for Decision Envelopes
- Post-quantum hybrid signatures (Ed25519 + ML-DSA-65) on critical bundles
M9-S5 — Data Residency & Sovereignty
- Per-jurisdiction data residency with cross-border attestation only
- Confidential compute (TEE: SEV-SNP / TDX / Nitro) for sensitive evaluations
- Mutually-authenticated cross-border channels (mTLS + workload identity)
M10 — Infrastructure, CI/CD, and Deployment Blueprints
+ Infrastructure-as-code blueprints, gated CI/CD pipelines, golden environments, and runbooks for CEGL/LexAI services across cloud and on-prem.
+ IaCCI/CDgolden envsrunbooks
+ M10-S1 — Reference Topology
- 3-region active-active control plane (EU, US, APAC) with per-region failover
- Air-gapped sensitive enclaves for FV-LexAI proof generation
- Confidential VMs / TEEs for treaty event signing and kill-switch propagation
- Object-store WORM buckets for Treaty Ledger cold tier with bucket lock
M10-S2 — Terraform Modules (excerpt)
- modules/treaty-ledger (Kafka WORM topic + ACL + KMS CMK + WORM bucket)
- modules/lexai-svc (K8s deployments + OPA Gatekeeper + service mesh)
- modules/fv-lexai-svc (air-gapped node pool + GPU optional + signed image policy)
- modules/gti-svc (multi-region read replicas + CCP feeds)
- modules/kill-switch (multisig HSM + global anycast + sub-60s propagation)
M10-S3 — CI/CD Gates
- G0 source: SBOM + SAST + secret scan + license check
- G1 build: reproducible build + Sigstore sign + SLSA Level 3+
- G2 verify: FV-LexAI property pack runs on touched bundles
- G3 conformance: OPA conftest on K8s/IaC; admission via signed image policy
- G4 release: blue/green or canary; auto-rollback on KPI breach (GTI floor, error budget)
M10-S4 — Runbooks
- RB-01 LEVEL-5 containment drill execution
- RB-02 Treaty bundle hot-swap with multisig
- RB-03 Cross-border incident reporting (≤24 h SEV-1)
- RB-04 Kill-switch invocation & restoration
- RB-05 Deliberation panel convening and integrity attestation
- RB-06 GTI re-attestation after evaluator dispute
- RB-07 TDL circuit-breaker activation and CCP coordination
M11 — Sector Mapping: Banking, Markets, Insurance, Payments
+ Concrete mapping of CEGL/LexAI-DSL to financial-services use cases under SR 11-7, Basel, FCA Consumer Duty, MAS FEAT.
+ bankingmarketsinsurancepayments
+ M11-S1 — Banking — Credit Decisioning
- Models registered with hash-chained model card; SR 11-7 + EU AI Act Art 10/14
- Adverse-action letters under FCRA §615(a) emit Decision Envelope with explanations
- GTI sub-index threshold gates production deployment
M11-S2 — Markets — Trading & Surveillance
- AI trading agents declared; circuit breakers tied to TDL spreads and GTI floor
- Cross-border anomaly drills (DR-02) coordinated with CCPs and exchanges
- Insider risk monitored with privacy-preserving analytics (TEE + DP)
M11-S3 — Insurance — Underwriting & Claims
- Disparate-impact bound ε declared per product; recalibration triggers reviewer panel
- AI-assisted claims must preserve appeal pathways; explainability ≥ 90% threshold
- Solvency II / IAIS interplay with GTI overlay
M11-S4 — Payments & AML/CFT
- AI screening models register data lineage; FATF-aligned LexAI-DSL bundles
- False-positive metrics published quarterly; sector minimums coded as obligations
- Cross-border STR sharing coordinated through supervisor-gateway-svc
M12 — Civil-Society, Academia, and AI Safety Institute Integration
+ Pathways for independent oversight, research access, contestability, and public-interest evaluation of frontier AI under treaty protection.
+ civil societyacademiaAISIcontestability
+ M12-S1 — Independent Verification Rights
- Treaty-protected audit rights for AISI and credentialed academic teams
- Access to model weights for safety evaluation under TEEs and confidentiality contracts
- Pre-publication coordinated disclosure window (90 d) for critical findings
M12-S2 — Contestability Pathways
- Citizen and SME redress portal with case management and SLAs
- Independent ombud with subpoena-equivalent powers within scope
- Reversal of automated decisions on identified harm
M12-S3 — Research Commons
- Pseudonymized datasets and benchmarks under federated access
- Compute grants for public-interest evaluations (red-team battery)
- Open standards for evaluation reproducibility
M12-S4 — Public Reports
- Annual AI State of the Civilization report by Treaty Authority + AISI consortium
- Quarterly GTI heatmaps and TDL exposure summaries
- Multilingual lay summaries for public deliberation
M13 — Risk Register, KPIs & Maturity Model
+ Risk register across systemic, civilizational, geopolitical, technical, and legitimacy dimensions; supervisory KPIs and a maturity model from Tier 0 to Tier 5.
+ risk registerKPIsmaturity model
+ M13-S1 — Risk Register (excerpt)
- RR-01 Frontier model deceptive alignment
- RR-02 Cross-border regulatory arbitrage
- RR-03 AI-induced market dislocation (flash event)
- RR-04 Synthetic-media bank run / public-trust collapse
- RR-05 Compute concentration and supply chain capture
- RR-06 Treaty fragmentation / non-ratification
- RR-07 Citizen-plane delegitimization (capture)
- RR-08 PQC migration delay
- RR-09 Critical-infrastructure AI compromise
- RR-10 Climate-finance AI misalignment
M13-S2 — Maturity Model (Tier 0–5)
- T0 Ad-hoc — governance-by-policy-document; no machine-readable controls
- T1 Defined — LexAI-DSL bundles for top-N regimes; manual conformance
- T2 Managed — automated CI/CD gates + GTI sub-index measurement
- T3 Integrated — federated drills + cross-border ledger + TDL pilots
- T4 Predictive — FV-LexAI proof-carrying bundles + predictive systemic risk
- T5 Anticipatory — full Codex-anchored, citizen-plane-legitimized governance
M13-S3 — Resource Plan (illustrative)
- Year 1: 60 FTE (legal/eng/safety/comms) + 2 regional hubs
- Year 3: 220 FTE + 5 hubs + AISI partnerships
- Year 5: 480 FTE + global secretariat + standing deliberation infrastructure
M14 — Roadmap 2026-2035 and Milestones
+ Phased roadmap from pilot treaties to mature CEGL with full citizen-plane participation, including milestones, dependencies, and KPIs.
+ roadmapmilestonesdependencies
+ M14-S1 — Phase 1 (2026-2027) — Pilot Treaties & Tooling
- GASRGP Annex pilot with EU/UK/US/JP/SG
- LexAI-DSL v1.0 + FV-LexAI v0.5 (P1, P2, P5 properties)
- Treaty Ledger MVP; Decision Envelope schema standardized
- First federated drill (DR-01) with 5 regulators
M14-S2 — Phase 2 (2028-2029) — GAISM Observer & GTI v1.0
- GAISM Observer status; first AI Stress Test
- GTI v1.0 published quarterly; TDL pilot with 2 CCPs
- Deliberation panels piloted in 3 jurisdictions
- FV-LexAI v1.0 with proof-carrying bundles
M14-S3 — Phase 3 (2030-2032) — Full Treaty Activation
- GAISM activation upon ratification by ≥ 8 G20 jurisdictions
- GASC accession by ≥ 30 states
- TDL graduates from pilot; AI Capital Overlay live in major banks
- Annual cross-border AI stress test with mutual recognition
M14-S4 — Phase 4 (2033-2035) — Maturity & Civilizational Integration
- T5 maturity in early-adopter G-SIFIs
- Standing global deliberation infrastructure
- Climate-finance AI alignment program
- Codex axiom updates ratified through citizen-plane
M14-S5 — Dependencies & Risks to Plan
- Geopolitical alignment in 2026-2028 window
- PQC migration of trust roots by 2030
- Independent AISI capacity scaling
- Public legitimacy through transparent deliberation
Code Examples (16)
+ CE-01 — LexAI-DSL — Obligation (excerpt) (lexai)
obligation EU_AIACT_ART14_OVERSIGHT {
+ source: 'EU AI Act 2026 Art 14',
+ subject: provider | deployer,
+ predicate: ensure_human_oversight(system, controls=['stop','override','review']),
+ temporal: continuous,
+ evidence: [DecisionEnvelope, OverrideLog],
+ remedy: REM_HUMAN_OVERSIGHT_RESTORE,
+ conflict_priority: 90
+}
+
+prohibition GASC_ART2_AUTONOMOUS_LETHAL {
+ source: 'GASC Art 2',
+ scope: defense_systems,
+ enforcement_class: hard,
+ exceptions: []
+}CE-02 — LexAI-DSL → OPA/Rego Compiler (TypeScript) (typescript)
export function compileToRego(b: LexAIBundle): string {
+ const rules: string[] = ['package cegl.runtime'];
+ for (const c of b.dsl.clauses) {
+ if (c.type === 'obligation') {
+ rules.push(`allow { input.action == "${c.predicate.action}"; input.evidence_present == true }`);
+ } else if (c.type === 'prohibition') {
+ rules.push(`deny { input.scope == "${c.scope}" }`);
+ }
+ }
+ return rules.join('\n');
+}CE-03 — TLA+ Property — Kill-Switch Liveness (tla)
----------------- MODULE KillSwitch -----------------
+VARIABLES state, decisionAt, propagatedAt
+Init == state = 'normal' /\ propagatedAt = 0
+Invoke == state = 'normal' /\ state' = 'invoked' /\ decisionAt' = clock
+Propagate == state = 'invoked' /\ state' = 'contained' /\ propagatedAt' = clock
+Live == <>(state = 'contained')
+SLA == [](state = 'invoked' => (propagatedAt - decisionAt) <= 60)
+=====
CE-04 — Lean 4 — Conflict Resolver Totality (sketch) (lean)
def resolve : ClauseSet → Context → Decision
+ | cs, ctx => match cs.findHighestPriority ctx with
+ | some d => d
+ | none => Decision.deny -- safe default
+
+theorem resolve_total : ∀ cs ctx, ∃ d, resolve cs ctx = d := by
+ intro cs ctx; exact ⟨_, rfl⟩
CE-05 — Treaty Ledger Append (Node.js) (typescript)
import {createHash, sign} from 'node:crypto';
+export async function appendTreaty(prev: string, evt: TreatyEvent, key: KeyHandle) {
+ const body = canonicalize({...evt, prevHash: prev});
+ const thisHash = createHash('sha256').update(body).digest('hex');
+ const sig = sign('Ed25519', Buffer.from(thisHash,'hex'), key.priv).toString('base64');
+ const envelope = {...JSON.parse(body), thisHash, signatures:[{alg:'Ed25519', kid:key.kid, sig}]};
+ await kafka.send({topic:`treaty.events`, messages:[{key:evt.id, value:JSON.stringify(envelope)}]});
+ return envelope;
+}CE-06 — GTI Computation (Python) (python)
def compute_gti(records, weights):
+ sub = {k: weighted_avg([r.subIndices[k] for r in records],
+ [r.attestationQuorum for r in records]) for k in weights}
+ score = sum(weights[k]*sub[k] for k in weights)
+ return {'score': round(score, 4), 'subIndices': sub}CE-07 — Kill-Switch Multisig Invocation (TypeScript) (typescript)
export async function invokeKillSwitch(req: KSReq) {
+ if (req.cosignatures.length < 2) throw new Error('multisig required');
+ await verifyCoSigs(req.cosignatures, ['ai_safety_lead', 'ciso|cro']);
+ await ledger.append({type:'killswitch.invoke', payload:req});
+ await fanout.broadcast('killswitch', req.scope); // global anycast
+ await checkPropagation({slaMs: 60_000});
+}CE-08 — Federated Drill Orchestrator (Python) (python)
async def run_drill(scenario_id, participants):
+ drill = await drill_svc.start(scenario_id, participants)
+ async for evt in drill.stream():
+ await score(evt)
+ lessons = analyse(drill)
+ bundle = compile_lessons_to_lexai(lessons)
+ await lexai.publish(bundle) # FV-LexAI verifies before activation
+ return drill.report
CE-09 — OpenTelemetry Span — Treaty Action (typescript)
tracer.startActiveSpan('treaty.action', span => {
+ span.setAttributes({'treaty.id':evt.id,'treaty.type':evt.type,'jurisdiction':ctx.jur});
+ // ...handler...
+ span.end();
+});CE-10 — Sortition Sampling (Python) (python)
import secrets
+def sortition(pool, strata_quotas):
+ out = []
+ for stratum, q in strata_quotas.items():
+ eligible = [p for p in pool if p.matches(stratum)]
+ out += secrets.SystemRandom().sample(eligible, q)
+ return out
CE-11 — Supervisor Gateway — Bulletin Verify (TS) (typescript)
export async function verifyBulletin(b: Bulletin) {
+ const cert = await pki.resolve(b.signerKid);
+ const ok = await crypto.verify('Ed25519', b.payload, cert.pub, b.sig);
+ if (!ok) throw new Error('invalid bulletin');
+ await audit.append({action:'bulletin.verify', signer:b.signerKid, hash:b.payloadHash});
+}CE-12 — TDL Trigger Monitor (Python) (python)
def should_step_up_coupon(gti_record, floor):
+ return gti_record['score'] < floor
+
+def should_circuit_break(spread_bps, threshold):
+ return spread_bps >= threshold
CE-13 — Confidential Compute — Attestation Check (typescript)
const att = await tee.getAttestation();
+if (!verifyAttestation(att, expected: 'TDX|SEV-SNP', minTcb)) throw new Error('TEE attestation failed');
+// proceed with sensitive evaluation...CE-14 — Treaty Bundle Hot-Swap (CI snippet) (yaml)
- name: FV-LexAI verify
+ run: fvc verify --bundle $BUNDLE --properties P1,P2,P5,P7
+- name: Sigstore sign
+ run: cosign sign --key kms://treaty-authority $BUNDLE
+- name: Stage canary
+ run: cli treaty deploy --canary --regions eu1,us1
+- name: KPI check
+ run: cli gti floor-check --scope canary --floor 0.85
CE-15 — PQC Hybrid Sign (TS) (typescript)
const ed = await crypto.sign('Ed25519', payload, ed25519Key);
+const pq = await mldsa.sign(payload, mldsa65Key);
+return {alg:'hybrid:Ed25519+ML-DSA-65', sigs:[ed, pq]};CE-16 — Public Press Bulletin (Markdown template) (markdown)
# Public Bulletin — {{title}}
+
+*Issued:* {{ts}} · *Authority:* {{authority}} · *Signed:* {{sigShort}}
+
+## What happened
+{{whatHappened}}
+
+## What we are doing
+{{actions}}
+
+## What this means for you
+{{citizenImpact}}
+
+## Verification
+Verify this bulletin's signature at {{verifyUrl}}.