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30 changes: 23 additions & 7 deletions docs/competitive-threat-matrix.md
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# Aegis Competitive Threat Matrix

> **Last updated:** 2026-05-11 | **Source:** Issues #3013, #3014, #3016, #3003, #3004 + ECC analysis (Orpheus) + deep competitive research (Scribe)
> **Last updated:** 2026-05-12 | **Source:** Issues #3013, #3014, #3016, #3003, #3004 + ECC analysis (Orpheus) + deep competitive research (Scribe)
> **Audience:** Leadership (Ema, Boss) for strategic planning

---
Expand All @@ -19,15 +19,15 @@ The Claude Code orchestration space is **crowded and moving fast**. 8+ competito

| Rank | Competitor | ⭐ | Threat | Installs in | Agent count | Chat platforms | API | Dashboard | Enterprise auth |
|------|-----------|-----|--------|-------------|-------------|---------------|-----|-----------|----------------|
| #1 | **Ruflo** | 47K | 🔴 CRITICAL | `npx ruflo init` | 98 | UI only | ✅ (undocumented) | ✅ (beta) | ❌ |
| #2 | **oh-my-claudecode** | 33K | 🔴 CRITICAL | `/plugin install` (1 cmd) | Multi-agent | Plugin (inside CC) | ❌ | ❌ | ❌ |
| #1 | **Ruflo** | 49.3K (+2.3K in 3 days) | 🔴 CRITICAL | `npx ruflo init` | 98 | UI only | ✅ (undocumented) | ✅ (beta) | ❌ |
| #2 | **oh-my-claudecode** | 33.5K (+400 in 3 days) | 🔴 CRITICAL | `/plugin install` (1 cmd) | Multi-agent | Plugin (inside CC) | ❌ | ❌ | ❌ |
| #3 | **cc-connect** | 8K | 🟠 HIGH | Binary download | 10+ | **11** (inc. WeChat, QQ) | ❌ | ✅ (basic) | Token only |
| #4 | **Composio** | 6.9K | 🟠 HIGH | `npm install` | Multi-agent | CI/CD focus | ✅ | ❌ | ❌ |
| #5 | **open-multi-agent** | 6.1K | 🟡 MEDIUM | `npm install` | Multi-agent | MCP only | ✅ | Tracing UI | ❌ |
| #6 | **mission-control** | 4.7K | 🟠 HIGH | `npm install` | Multi-gateway | Skills Hub | ✅ | ✅ | ✅ RBAC |
| #7 | **OpenACP** | 346 | 🟠 HIGH | `curl \| bash` | **28+** | Telegram, Discord, Slack | ✅ | ❌ | ❌ |
| #8 | **ECC** | 177K | 🟢 OPPORTUNITY | Config library | N/A (skills) | N/A | ❌ | ❌ | ❌ |
| — | **Aegis** | ~200 | — | `npm + init + config` | 1 (Claude Code) | 4 | ✅ 34 MCP tools | ✅ Full React | ✅ OIDC/RBAC |
| — | **Aegis** | ~200 | — | `npx + ag run` (2 cmds) | 1 (Claude Code) | 4 | ✅ 34 MCP tools | ✅ Full React | ✅ OIDC/RBAC |

---

Expand Down Expand Up @@ -87,9 +87,25 @@ No single competitor has ALL of these. This is the enterprise wedge:

This is the tagline. Ruflo and OMC are developer tools. Aegis is **enterprise middleware** — the layer between "someone typed a message" and "code shipped to production." The moat is compliance, governance, observability. Don't compete on agent count. Compete on trust.

---
## Market Pulse — 2026-05-12

Live star counts and release velocity as of May 12:

| Competitor | ⭐ Today | 3-day delta | Latest release | npm installs/week | Ship cadence |
|-----------|---------|-------------|----------------|-------------------|-------------|
| **Ruflo** | 49,305 | +2,300 | v3.7.0-alpha.23 (May 11) | 56,915 | Multiple/day (alpha) |
| **oh-my-claudecode** | 33,491 | +400 | v4.13.7 (May 9) | 7,341 | Weekly |
| **Aegis** | ~10 | — | v0.6.7-preview.1 (May 11) | 162 | 5–10 PRs/day |

## New Findings (2026-05-11 Deep Dive)
**Key signals:**
- Ruflo gained 2,300 stars in 3 days — accelerating. Still pre-stable (alpha releases).
- OMC grew 400 stars — steady. On v4.13.7 with stable weekly releases.
- Aegis npm installs: 162/week. Ruflo: 56,915/week (351× our volume). OMC: 7,341/week (45× our volume).
- Ruflo shipped 15+ alpha releases between May 6–11. Velocity is extreme.

**Takeaway:** The install friction gap is costing us real users. Ruflo's `npx ruflo init` and OMC's `/plugin install` capture developers before they discover Aegis. PR #3232 (2-command quickstart docs) addresses this at the docs level. The code-level simplification (#3181) needs Ema's product direction.

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### oh-my-claudecode — Critical Path
- **12 features we lack:** autopilot mode, multi-agent team orchestration (plan→PRD→exec→verify→fix), cross-model advisor (/ccg), deep interview (Socratic requirements), skill learning system, smart model routing (30-50% token savings), HUD statusline, magic keyword triggers, persistent verify/fix loops, tmux CLI workers, multi-language docs (7 languages)
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -216,4 +232,4 @@ For each competitor: what they have that we don't **AND** what we have that they

---

*Maintained by Scribe 📝 — last deep dive: 2026-05-11. Update on each competitive scan.*
*Maintained by Scribe 📝 — last deep dive: 2026-05-11, star counts updated: 2026-05-12. Update on each competitive scan.*
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