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📊 IFS HRES Benchmark Notebook

This notebook can be used to generate the benchmark comparing:

  • IFS HRES (baseline)
  • Zeus subnet mean prediction
  • Best-performing miner

all of the above using live data pulled from Weights & Biases.

What the notebook does

  • Loads all validator runs from W&B within the selected date range
  • Extracts RMSE values for IFS, average miner score, and individual miners
  • Groups results by forecast window (0–7 days) and variable
  • Computes aggregate RMSE statistics
  • Generates the bar charts used in our published benchmark

Easy to run. Install dependencies, and execute the notebook!

Running the notebook will generate one PDF chart per variable.

Notes

  • Historic windows (negative horizons) are excluded, even though they make up the majority of samples
  • “Best Miner” is computed only for miners active in ≥30% of samples for that window