Document State Pension model + residual aggregate gap (#1632)#1717
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Document State Pension model + residual aggregate gap (#1632)#1717vahid-ahmadi wants to merge 1 commit into
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#1632 reported a -£12 bn State Pension aggregate gap against OBR with two diagnosed causes: (1) flat-max in new_state_pension regardless of NI record, (2) Protected Payment missing for NEW-type retirees. Both have since been fixed on the formula side in PR #1634: - new_state_pension now pro-rates against state_pension_reported, - additional_state_pension extends Protected Payment to NEW-type recipients too. This PR persists the diagnosis and the post-#1634 state in a docs page under programs/gov/dwp/state-pension.md, covering: - the three-variable composition (BSP + NSP + ASP) and the state_pension_type classification fix from #1618, - triple-lock uprating with its active/earnings/inflation flags, - the residual ~£12 bn gap, now narrowed to data-side ASP under-imputation in policyengine-uk-data (rather than formula issues) for BASIC-type retirees reporting exactly the max basic rate, - references to the Pensions Act 2014, SSCBA 1992 Part 2, OBR EFO, and the HoC Library triple-lock briefing.
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Summary
new_state_pensionreturned the flat max for every NEW-type retiree, (2) Protected Payment was only computed for BASIC-type recipients.new_state_pensionnow pro-rates againststate_pension_reported,additional_state_pensionextends Protected Payment to NEW-type retirees too.docs/book/programs/gov/dwp/state-pension.md:basic_state_pension+new_state_pension+additional_state_pension) and the BASIC / NEW classification settled by PR Fix state_pension_type classifying all pensioners as BASIC #1618,policyengine-uk-datafollow-up rather than a formula gap,Test plan
programs/gov/dwp/.🤖 Generated with Claude Code