Add non-UK household benefit receipt planning doc (#842)#1720
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vahid-ahmadi wants to merge 1 commit into
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Add non-UK household benefit receipt planning doc (#842)#1720vahid-ahmadi wants to merge 1 commit into
vahid-ahmadi wants to merge 1 commit into
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#842 flagged that calibrating to DWP/HMRC outturn implicitly assumes all benefit expenditure lands on FRS households — it doesn't, because exported State Pension, care-home residents, EU-treaty Child Benefit residue, and admin leakage end up overweighting FRS-household aggregates. Persist the plan in-repo. The page proposes: - Phase 1: quantify the gap per programme using DWP "Benefits paid outside the UK" statistics, the F&E in the Benefit System release, and Stat-Xplore residence/tenure breakdowns; - Phase 2: subtract the out-of-scope share from policyengine-uk-data calibration targets via a new private_household_share field on programs.yaml rows; - Phase 3 (optional): keep an additive correction for headline-fiscal aggregates rather than synthesising overseas / institutional households (which would need strong unverifiable assumptions). Pure docs; the implementation lives mostly in policyengine-uk-data.
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Summary
docs/book/assumptions/non-uk-benefit-receipt-plan.md.policyengine-uk-datacalibration targets via a newprivate_household_sharefield onprograms.yamlrows (default 1.0).policyengine-uk-data— only theprivate_household_sharefield would be added to this repo.Test plan
assumptions/.🤖 Generated with Claude Code