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Copy file name to clipboardExpand all lines: lectures/markov_asset.md
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@@ -63,7 +63,7 @@ An asset is a claim on one or more future payoffs.
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The spot price of an asset depends primarily on
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* the anticipated income stream
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* the anticipated income stream
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* attitudes about risk
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* rates of time preference
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@@ -75,15 +75,14 @@ We also look at creating and pricing *derivative* assets that repackage income s
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Key tools for the lecture are
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* Markov processses
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* Markov processes
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* formulas for predicting future values of functions of a Markov state
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* a formula for predicting the discounted sum of future values of a Markov state
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Let's start with some imports:
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```{code-cell} ipython
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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
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import numpy as np
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import quantecon as qe
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import jax
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import jax.numpy as jnp
@@ -151,7 +150,7 @@ for some **stochastic discount factor** $m_{t+1}$.
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Here the fixed discount factor $\beta$ in {eq}`rnapex` has been replaced by the random variable $m_{t+1}$.
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How anticipated future payoffs are evaluated now depends on statistical properties of $m_{t+1}$.
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How anticipated future payoffs are evaluated now depends on statistical properties of $m_{t+1}$.
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The stochastic discount factor can be specified to capture the idea that assets that tend to have good payoffs in bad states of the world are valued more highly than other assets whose payoffs don't behave that way.
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@@ -177,12 +176,12 @@ If we apply this definition to the asset pricing equation {eq}`lteeqs0` we obtai
It is useful to regard equation {eq}`lteeqs102`as a generalization of equation {eq}`rnapex`
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It is useful to regard equation {eq}`lteeqs102` as a generalization of equation {eq}`rnapex`
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* In equation {eq}`rnapex`, the stochastic discount factor $m_{t+1} = \beta$, a constant.
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* In equation {eq}`rnapex`, the stochastic discount factor $m_{t+1} = \beta$, a constant.
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* In equation {eq}`rnapex`, the covariance term ${\rm cov}_t (m_{t+1}, d_{t+1}+ p_{t+1})$ is zero because $m_{t+1} = \beta$.
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* In equation {eq}`rnapex`, ${\mathbb E}_t m_{t+1}$ can be interpreted as the reciprocal of the one-period risk-free gross interest rate.
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* When $m_{t+1}$ covaries more negatively with the payout $p_{t+1} + d_{t+1}$, the price of the asset is lower.
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* When $m_{t+1}$ covaries more negatively with the payout $p_{t+1} + d_{t+1}$, the price of the asset is lower.
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Equation {eq}`lteeqs102` asserts that the covariance of the stochastic discount factor with the one period payout $d_{t+1} + p_{t+1}$ is an important determinant of the price $p_t$.
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@@ -213,9 +212,9 @@ The answer to this question depends on
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1. the process we specify for dividends
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1. the stochastic discount factor and how it correlates with dividends
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For now we'll study the risk-neutral case in which the stochastic discount factor is constant.
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For now we'll study the risk-neutral case in which the stochastic discount factor is constant.
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We'll focus on how an asset price depends on a dividend process.
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We'll focus on how an asset price depends on a dividend process.
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