Merge pull request #3202 from UKHSA-Internal/CDD-3365

CDD-3365 Update Impact Text for Risk Description for WHA heat '26.

Author: djl

metrics/domain/weather_health_alerts/text_lookups/common.py

@@ -2,9 +2,12 @@
 <p>Little impact observed on health, healthcare services and social care provision. Business as usual.</p>
 """
 LEVEL_5_TEXT = """
-<p>There is potential for minor impacts across health and social care services, including:</p>
-<ul><li>increased use of healthcare services by vulnerable people</li>
+<p>There is <strong>potential</strong> for minor impacts across health and social care services,
+including:</p><ul>
+<li>increased use of healthcare services by vulnerable people</li>
 <li>greater risk to life of vulnerable people</li>
-<li>increased potential for indoor environments to become very warm</ul>
+<li>increased potential for indoor environments to become very warm</li>
+<li>water‑related incidents may increase, including risks from cold‑water shock and drowning</li>
+</ul>
 <p>but these are not expected.</p>
 """

metrics/domain/weather_health_alerts/text_lookups/heat_alert_text.py

@@ -1,104 +1,124 @@
 from metrics.domain.weather_health_alerts.text_lookups import common
 
 _LEVEL_6_TEXT = """
-<p>Minor impacts are possible across the health and social care services, including:</p>
-<ul><li>Increased use of healthcare services by vulnerable people</li>
-<li>Greater risk to life of vulnerable people</li>
-<li>Increased potential for indoor environments to become very warm</li></ul>
-<p>But these are not expected.</p>
+<p>Minor impacts are <strong>possible</strong> across the health and social care services, including:</p>
+<ul>
+<li>increased use of healthcare services by vulnerable people</li>
+<li>greater risk to life of vulnerable people</li>
+<li>increased potential for indoor environments to become very warm</li>
+<li>water‑related incidents may increase, including risks from cold‑water shock and drowning</li>
+</ul>
+<p>but these are not expected.</p>
 """
 _LEVEL_7_TEXT = """
-<p>Minor impacts are likely across health and social services, 
-including:</p><ul><li>increased use of healthcare services by vulnerable people</li>
+<p>Minor impacts are <strong>likely</strong> across health and social care servicfes, including:</p>
+<ul>
+<li>increased use of healthcare services by vulnerable people</li>
 <li>greater risk to life of vulnerable people</li>
-<li>increased potential for indoor environments to become very warm</li></ul>
+<li>increased potential for indoor environments to become very warm</li>
+<li>water‑related incidents may increase, including risks from cold‑water shock and drowning</li>
+</ul>
 """
 _LEVEL_8_TEXT = """
-<p>Minor impacts are expected across health and social care services, 
-including:</p><ul><li>increased use of healthcare services by vulnerable people</li>
+<p>Minor impacts are <strong>expected</strong> across health and social care services, including:</p>
+<ul>
+<li>increased use of healthcare services by vulnerable people</li>
 <li>greater risk to life of vulnerable people</li>
-<li>increased potential for indoor environments to become very warm</li></ul>
+<li>increased potential for indoor environments to become very warm</li>
+<li>water‑related incidents may increase, including risks from cold‑water shock and drowning</li>
+</ul>
 """
 _LEVEL_9_TEXT = """
-<p>There is potential for significant impacts across health and social care services 
-from high temperatures, including:</p><ul><li>a rise in deaths, particularly among those ages 65 and over or with health conditions. 
-There may also be impacts on younger age groups</li>
+<p>There is <strong>potential</strong> for significant impacts across health and social care services from high temperatures, including:</p>
+<ul>
+<li>a rise in deaths, particularly among those aged 65 and over or with health conditions. There may also be impacts on younger age groups</li>
 <li>a likely increase in demand for health services</li>
-<li>internal temperatures in care settings (hospitals and care homes) may exceed recommended threshold 
-for clinical risk assessment</li>
+<li>internal temperatures in care settings (hospitals and care homes) may exceed the recommended threshold for clinical risk assessment</li>
 <li>the heat affecting the ability of the workforce to deliver services</li>
-<li>indoor environments overheating increasing the risk to vulnerable people living independently in community and care settings</li></ul>
+<li>indoor environments overheating increasing the risk to vulnerable people living independently in community and care settings</li>
+<li>water‑related incidents may increase, including risks from cold‑water shock and drowning</li>
+</ul>
 """
 _LEVEL_10_TEXT = """
-<p>Significant impacts are possible across the health and social care services due to the high temperatures, 
-including:</p><ul><li>a rise in deaths, particularly among those aged 65 and over or with health conditions. There may also be impacts on younger age groups</li>
+<p>Significant impacts are <strong>possible</strong> across the health and social care services due to the high temperatures, including:</p>
+<ul>
+<li>a rise in deaths, particularly among those aged 65 and over or with health conditions. There may also be impacts on younger age groups</li>
 <li>a likely increase in demand for health services</li>
-<li>internal temperatures in care settings (hospitals and care homes) may exceed the recommended threshold 
-for clinical risk assessment</li>
+<li>internal temperatures in care settings (hospitals and care homes) may exceed the recommended threshold for clinical risk assessment</li>
 <li>the heat affecting the ability of the workforce to deliver services</li>
-<li>indoor environments overheating increasing the risk to vulnerable people living independently in community and care settings</li></ul>
+<li>indoor environments overheating increasing the risk to vulnerable people living independently in community and care settings</li>
+<li>water‑related incidents may increase, including risks from cold‑water shock and drowning</li>
+</ul>
 """
 _LEVEL_11_TEXT = """
-<p>There is potential for severe impacts across health and social care services due to the high temperatures, 
-including:</p><ul><li>increased risk to life across the whole population,
-with significant impacts on older people</li>
+<p>There is potential for severe impacts across health and social care services due to the high temperatures, including:</p>
+<ul>
+<li>increased risk to life across the whole population, with significant impacts on older people</li>
 <li>significantly increased demand on all health and social care services</li>
 <li>the heat affecting the ability of the workforce to deliver services</li>
-<li>hot indoor environments making provision of care challenging and national critical infrastructure failures, such as generators and power outages</li></ul>
+<li>hot indoor environments making provision of care challenging and national critical infrastructure failures, such as generators and power outages</li>
+<li>water‑related incidents may increase, including risks from cold‑water shock and drowning</li>
+</ul>
 """
 _LEVEL_12_TEXT = """
-<p>Significant impacts are likely across health and social care services due to the high temperatures, 
-including:</p><ul><li>a rise in deaths, particularly among those ages 65 and over or with health conditions.
-There may also be impacts on younger age groups</li>
+<p>Significant impacts are <strong>likely</strong> across health and social care services due to the high temperatures, including:</p>
+<ul>
+<li>a rise in deaths, particularly among those aged 65 and over or with health conditions. There may also be impacts on younger age groups</li>
 <li>likely increased demand on all health and social care services</li>
-<li>internal temperatures in care settings (hospitals and care homes) may exceed recommended threshold 
-for clinical risk assessment</li>
+<li>internal temperatures in care settings (hospitals and care homes) may exceed the recommended threshold for clinical risk assessment</li>
 <li>the heat affecting the ability of the workforce to deliver services</li>
 <li>indoor environments overheating increasing the risk to vulnerable people living independently in community and care settings</li>
 <li>issues managing medicines</li>
 <li>staffing issues due to external factors (for example, affecting transport)</li>
 <li>increased demand for power exceeding capacity</li>
-<li>other sectors starting to observe impacts (for example, travel delays)</li></ul>
+<li>other sectors starting to observe impacts (for example, travel delays)</li>
+<li>water‑related incidents may increase, including risks from cold‑water shock and drowning</li>
+</ul>
 """
 _LEVEL_13_TEXT = """
-<p>Significant impacts are expected across health and social care services due to the high temperatures, 
-including:</p><ul><li>a rise in deaths, particularly among those aged 65 and over or with health conditions.
-There may also be impacts on younger age groups</li>
+<p>Significant impacts are <strong>expected</strong> across health and social care services due to the high temperatures, including:</p>
+<ul>
+<li>a rise in deaths, particularly among those aged 65 and over or with health conditions. There may also be impacts on younger age groups</li>
 <li>likely increased demand on all health and social care services</li>
-<li>internal temperatures in care settings (hospitals and care homes) may exceed the recommended threshold 
-for clinical risk assessment</li>
+<li>internal temperatures in care settings (hospitals and care homes) may exceed the recommended threshold for clinical risk assessment</li>
 <li>the heat affecting the ability of the workforce to deliver services</li>
 <li>indoor environments overheating increasing the risk to vulnerable people living independently in community and care settings</li>
 <li>issues managing medicines</li>
 <li>staffing issues due to external factors (for example, affecting transport)</li>
-<li>increased demand for power exceeding capacity</li><li>other sectors starting to observe
-impacts (for example, travel delays)</li></ul>
+<li>increased demand for power exceeding capacity</li>
+<li>other sectors starting to observe impacts (for example, travel delays)</li>
+<li>water‑related incidents may increase, including risks from cold‑water shock and drowning</li>
+</ul>
 """
 _LEVEL_14_TEXT = """
-<p>Severe impacts are possible across health and social care services due to the high temperatures, 
-including:</p><ul><li>increased risk to life across the whole population 
-with significant impacts on older people</li>
+<p>Severe impacts are <strong>possible</strong> across health and social care services due to the high temperatures, including:</p>
+<ul>
+<li>increased risk to life across the whole population, with significant impacts on older people</li>
 <li>significantly increased demand on all health and social care services</li>
 <li>the heat affecting the ability of the workforce to deliver services</li>
-<li>hot indoor environments making provision of care challenging 
-and national critical infrastructure failures, such as generators and power outages</li></ul>
+<li>hot indoor environments making provision of care challenging and national critical infrastructure failures, such as generators and power outages </li>
+<li>water‑related incidents may increase, including risks from cold‑water shock and drowning</li>
+</ul>
 """
 _LEVEL_15_TEXT = """
-<p>Severe impacts are likely across health and social care services due to the high temperatures, 
-including:</p><ul><li>increased risk to life across the whole population 
-with significant impacts on older people</li>
+<p>Severe impacts are <strong>likely</strong> across health and social care services due to the high temperatures, including:</p>
+<ul>
+<li>increased risk to life across the whole population, with significant impacts on older people</li>
 <li>significantly increased demand on all health and social care services</li>
-<li>heat the ability of the workforce to deliver services</li>
-<li>hot indoor environments making provision of care challenging and national critical infrastructure failures, such as generators and power outages</li></ul>
+<li>the heat affecting the ability of the workforce to deliver services</li>
+<li>hot indoor environments making provision of care challenging and national critical infrastructure failures, such as generators and power outages </li>
+<li>water‑related incidents may increase, including risks from cold‑water shock and drowning</li>
+</ul>
 """
 _LEVEL_16_TEXT = """
-<p>Severe impacts are expected across health and social care services due to the high temperatures, 
-including:</p><ul><li>increased risk to life across the whole population,
-with significant impacts on older people</li>
+<p>Severe impacts are <strong>expected</strong> across health and social care services due to the high temperatures, including:</p>
+<ul>
+<li>increased risk to life across the whole population, with significant impacts on older people</li>
 <li>significantly increased demand on all health and social care services</li>
 <li>the heat affecting the ability of the workforce to deliver services</li>
-<li>hot indoor environments making provision of care challenging 
-and national critical infrastructure failures, such as generators and power outages</li></ul>
+<li>hot indoor environments making provision of care challenging and national critical infrastructure failures, such as generators and power outages </li>
+<li>water‑related incidents may increase, including risks from cold‑water shock and drowning</li>
+</ul>
 """
 
 HEAT_ALERT_TEXT_LOOKUP: dict[int, str] = {