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Workshop fabricator optimization attempt reverted - requires too many test changes. Current state: Model specs ~12.8s (28% faster than baseline), Full suite 75s (25% faster)
Result: {"status":"keep","model_spec_time":12.8,"examples":995,"failures":0}
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effort-report.md

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# codebar planner Effort Report
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**Period:** May 2025 - April 2026
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**Generated:** May 2, 2026
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---
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## Summary
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- **Total Effort:** ~700 hours over 12 months
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- **Average Monthly Effort:** ~58 hours/month
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- **Commits:** 650
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- **PRs Merged:** 231
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- **Review Interactions:** 525
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- **Effective Workdays/Month:** ~12-15 days (at 4-5 hrs/day productive time)
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*Note: 2026 commits estimated at 50% effort (vs 2025) due to increased coding agent usage.*
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### Estimation Assumptions
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| Activity | Time Estimate |
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|----------------------|---------------|
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| Commit (2025) | ~1.0 hr/commit |
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| Commit (2026) | ~0.5 hr/commit |
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| PR Review | ~25 min/review |
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| PR Comment Thread | ~12 min/thread |
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---
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## Development Effort
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### Commits & PRs per Month
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| Month | Commits | PRs Merged | Est. Hours/Commit | Estimated Hours |
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|----------:|--------:|------------|------------------:|----------------:|
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| May 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1.0hr | ~2 hrs |
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| Jun 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1.0hr | ~2 hrs |
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| Jul 2025 | 26 | 8 | 1.0hr | ~26 hrs |
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| Aug 2025 | 204 | 58 | 1.0hr | ~204 hrs |
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| Sep 2025 | 41 | 19 | 1.0hr | ~41 hrs |
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| Oct 2025 | 9 | 9 | 1.0hr | ~9 hrs |
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| Nov 2025 | 16 | 6 | 1.0hr | ~16 hrs |
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| Dec 2025 | 39 | 16 | 1.0hr | ~39 hrs |
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| Jan 2026 | 41 | 14 | 0.5hr | ~21 hrs |
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| Feb 2026 | 148 | 48 | 0.5hr | ~74 hrs |
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| Mar 2026 | 61 | 23 | 0.5hr | ~31 hrs |
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| Apr 2026 | 90 | 37 | 0.5hr | ~45 hrs |
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|----------:|--------:|------------|------------------:|----------------:|
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| **Total** | **650**| **231** | | **~510 hrs** |
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| **Average**| **54** | **19** | | **~43 hrs** |
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*2025 (May-Dec): ~339 hrs | 2026 (Jan-Apr): ~171 hrs*
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### Code Churn
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- **Lines Added:** 17,320
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- **Lines Removed:** 7,501
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- **Net Change:** +9,819 lines
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- **Monthly Average:** ~818 net lines/month
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---
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## Review Effort
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### Reviews & Comments per Month
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| Month | Reviews | PR Comments | Total Interactions | Estimated Hours |
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|----------:|--------:|------------:|-------------------:|----------------:|
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| May 2025 | 1 | 0 | 1 | ~0 hrs |
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| Jun 2025 | 1 | 0 | 1 | ~0 hrs |
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| Jul 2025 | 9 | 3 | 12 | ~4 hrs |
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| Aug 2025 | 106 | 59 | 165 | ~55 hrs |
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| Sep 2025 | 35 | 12 | 47 | ~15 hrs |
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| Oct 2025 | 43 | 4 | 47 | ~16 hrs |
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| Nov 2025 | 12 | 2 | 14 | ~4 hrs |
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| Dec 2025 | 25 | 4 | 29 | ~9 hrs |
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| Jan 2026 | 18 | 4 | 22 | ~7 hrs |
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| Feb 2026 | 70 | 34 | 104 | ~35 hrs |
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| Mar 2026 | 42 | 5 | 47 | ~14 hrs |
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| Apr 2026 | 61 | 23 | 84 | ~25 hrs |
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|----------:|--------:|------------:|-------------------:|----------------:|
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| **Total** | **423**| **146** | **525** | **~184 hrs** |
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| **Average**| **35** | **12** | **44** | **~15 hrs** |
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---
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## Contributors (Development)
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| Contributor | Commits | % of Total |
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|---------------------|--------:|-----------:|
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| Morgan Roderick | 240 | 37% |
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| Olle Jonsson | 180 | 28% |
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| dependabot[bot] | 66 | 10% |
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| Michael Josephson | 55 | 8% |
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| Gonçalo Morais | 42 | 6% |
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| jonathan.kerr | 31 | 5% |
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| David M | 28 | 4% |
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| Kriszta Matyi | 20 | 3% |
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| Kimberley Cook | 15 | 2% |
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| Jonathan Kerr | 9 | 1% |
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| Till | 4 | <1% |
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| Despo Pentara | 1 | <1% |
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---
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## Reviewers
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| Reviewer | Reviews | % of Total |
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|-----------------|--------:|-----------:|
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| Olle Jonsson | 171 | 33% |
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| Morgan Roderick | 67 | 13% |
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| Kimberley Cook | 63 | 12% |
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| Kriszta Matyi | 33 | 6% |
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| Till | 27 | 5% |
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| David Millen | 19 | 4% |
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| Gonçalo Morais | 14 | 3% |
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| Mike Jones | 10 | 2% |
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| Jon O'Brien | 10 | 2% |
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| Others | 9 | 2% |
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---
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## Contributors vs Reviewers Combined
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| Person | Commits (Dev) | Reviews | Total Activities |
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|----------------------|--------------:|--------:|-----------------:|
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| Morgan Roderick | 240 | 67 | 307 |
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| Olle Jonsson | 180 | 171 | 351 |
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| dependabot[bot] | 66 | 0 | 66 |
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| Michael Josephson | 55 | 0 | 55 |
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| Gonçalo Morais | 42 | 14 | 56 |
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| Kimberley Cook | 15 | 63 | 78 |
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| Kriszta Matyi | 20 | 33 | 53 |
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| David M | 28 | 19 | 47 |
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| jonathan.kerr | 31 | 0 | 31 |
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---
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## Notes
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- **August 2025** was exceptionally active (~4x average), with 204 commits and 58 PRs merged
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- **May/June 2025** were very quiet (likely summer slowdown)
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- **dependabot** accounts for 10% of commits (automated dependency updates)
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- **Morgan Roderick** and **Olle Jonsson** together account for ~65% of development
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- Review effort is distributed across multiple people, with Olle Jonsson doing the most (33%)
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- 2026 effort estimates reduced by 50% due to coding agent usage
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---
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## Methodology
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### Estimates
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- **Commit (2025):** ~1 hour average (simple: 30 min, complex: 2-3 hrs)
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- **Commit (2026):** ~0.5 hour average (coding agent assisted)
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- **Review:** ~20-30 min per PR review
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- **Comment thread:** ~10-15 min per thread
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### Data Sources
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- Git commit history (May 1, 2025 - Apr 30, 2026)
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- GitHub merged PRs in same period
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- GitHub review and comment data

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