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Fix D7: match Clojure repness metric formula (product of 4 signed values)#2521

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Fix D7: match Clojure repness metric formula (product of 4 signed values)#2521
jucor wants to merge 1 commit into
spr/edge/23c03d70from
spr/edge/80eaa87c

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@jucor jucor commented Mar 30, 2026

Summary

Changes the representativeness metric from a weighted sum of absolutes to the
Clojure product formula (repness.clj:188-190).

Before (Python):

  • agree_metric = pa * (|pat| + |rat|) — weighted sum, tolerant of weak factors
  • disagree_metric = (1 - pd) * (|pdt| + |rdt|) — doubly wrong: uses (1-pd) and sum

After (Clojure formula):

  • agree_metric = ra * rat * pa * pat — product of 4 signed values
  • disagree_metric = rd * rdt * pd * pdt — product of 4 signed values

The product formula is more conservative: any factor near zero kills the entire
metric, requiring ALL dimensions (probability, significance, relative
representativeness) to be strong simultaneously.

The old disagree formula was doubly wrong:

  1. Used (1 - pd) instead of pd — high metric when disagree probability is LOW
  2. Used a weighted sum of absolutes instead of a signed product

No feature flag for the old formula — it has no defensible behavior.

Test plan

  • 5 new D7 formula tests (agree product, disagree product, zero-kills-metric,
    sign preservation, multiple known values)
  • Updated unit tests in test_repness_unit.py and test_old_format_repness.py
  • Full test suite passes (excluding DynamoDB/MinIO tests)
  • Private dataset tests pass (--include-local)
  • Golden snapshots re-recorded for all 7 datasets

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

Squashed commits

  • Add PR description and update plan/journal for D7 fix

commit-id:80eaa87c


Stack:


⚠️ Part of a stack created by spr. Do not merge manually using the UI - doing so may have unexpected results.

@jucor jucor changed the title Fix D7: match Clojure repness metric formula (product of 4 signed values) [Stack 14/17] Fix D7: match Clojure repness metric formula (product of 4 signed values) Mar 30, 2026
@jucor jucor force-pushed the spr/edge/80eaa87c branch 2 times, most recently from cfd57d1 to 90838d7 Compare March 30, 2026 22:47
@jucor jucor force-pushed the spr/edge/23c03d70 branch from d92e3f2 to be320d5 Compare March 30, 2026 22:47
@jucor jucor force-pushed the spr/edge/80eaa87c branch from 90838d7 to 1390ff7 Compare March 31, 2026 00:35
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Pull request overview

Updates discrepancy-tracking documentation to indicate D7 (“Repness metric”) is complete and adds a journal entry describing the D7 TDD steps and implementation details.

Changes:

  • Mark D7 as DONE in the discrepancy coverage checklist.
  • Add a “PR 6: Fix D7 — Repness Metric Formula” journal section documenting the purported formula change and test workflow.

Reviewed changes

Copilot reviewed 2 out of 2 changed files in this pull request and generated 2 comments.

File Description
delphi/docs/PLAN_DISCREPANCY_FIXES.md Updates the discrepancy checklist row for D7 to show it as completed.
delphi/docs/CLJ-PARITY-FIXES-JOURNAL.md Adds a journal entry describing the D7 fix steps, formula changes, and testing outcomes.

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Comment on lines 468 to 473
| D3 | K-smoother buffer | PR 10 | — | Fix |
| D4 | Pseudocount formula | **PR 2** | **#2435** | **DONE** ✓ |
| D5 | Proportion test | **PR 4** | — | **DONE** ✓ |
| D6 | Two-proportion test | **PR 5** | — | **DONE** ✓ |
| D7 | Repness metric | PR 6 | — | Fix (with flag for old formula) |
| D7 | Repness metric | PR 6 | — | **DONE** ✓ |
| D8 | Finalize cmt stats | PR 7 | — | Fix |
Comment on lines +504 to +520
3. **Fix**: Changed both scalar `repness_metric()` and vectorized `compute_group_comment_stats_df()`:
- agree_metric: `pa * (|pat| + |rat|)` → `ra * rat * pa * pat`
- disagree_metric: `(1 - pd) * (|pdt| + |rdt|)` → `rd * rdt * pd * pdt`
4. **Green**: All 5 D7 formula tests pass + 4 blob comparison xfailed (D10 selection differs)
5. **Full suite (public)**: 4 regression failures, all in `repness.group_repness` fields (expected —
metric reranking changes which comments are selected)
6. **Re-recorded golden snapshots** for all 7 datasets (public + private)
7. **Final (with --include-local)**: 1 failed (pakistan-incremental D2, pre-existing), 98 passed,
5 skipped, 131 xfailed, 3 xpassed — 19/19 regression tests pass

### Changes
- `repness.py`: `repness_metric()` changed from `p_factor * (abs(p_test) + abs(r_test))` to
`r * r_test * p * p_test`. The old disagree formula was doubly wrong: used `(1-pd)` instead of
`pd`, and used a weighted sum instead of a product.
- `repness.py`: Vectorized metric in `compute_group_comment_stats_df()` updated to match.
- `test_discrepancy_fixes.py`: Expanded `TestD7RepnessMetric` from 2 to 6 tests (5 formula + 1 blob).
- `test_repness_unit.py`, `test_old_format_repness.py`: Updated expected values to match product formula.
…ues)

## Summary


Changes the representativeness metric from a weighted sum of absolutes to the
Clojure product formula (repness.clj:188-190).

**Before (Python):**
- agree_metric = `pa * (|pat| + |rat|)` — weighted sum, tolerant of weak factors
- disagree_metric = `(1 - pd) * (|pdt| + |rdt|)` — doubly wrong: uses `(1-pd)` and sum

**After (Clojure formula):**
- agree_metric = `ra * rat * pa * pat` — product of 4 signed values
- disagree_metric = `rd * rdt * pd * pdt` — product of 4 signed values

The product formula is more conservative: any factor near zero kills the entire
metric, requiring ALL dimensions (probability, significance, relative
representativeness) to be strong simultaneously.

The old disagree formula was doubly wrong:
1. Used `(1 - pd)` instead of `pd` — high metric when disagree probability is LOW
2. Used a weighted sum of absolutes instead of a signed product

No feature flag for the old formula — it has no defensible behavior.

## Test plan
- [x] 5 new D7 formula tests (agree product, disagree product, zero-kills-metric,
      sign preservation, multiple known values)
- [x] Updated unit tests in test_repness_unit.py and test_old_format_repness.py
- [x] Full test suite passes (excluding DynamoDB/MinIO tests)
- [x] Private dataset tests pass (--include-local)
- [x] Golden snapshots re-recorded for all 7 datasets

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)


## Squashed commits

- Add PR description and update plan/journal for D7 fix

commit-id:80eaa87c
@jucor jucor changed the title [Stack 14/17] Fix D7: match Clojure repness metric formula (product of 4 signed values) Fix D7: match Clojure repness metric formula (product of 4 signed values) May 19, 2026
@jucor jucor force-pushed the spr/edge/80eaa87c branch from 1390ff7 to 474fb9a Compare May 19, 2026 22:09
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3 participants