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1 | | -(a) Length biased sampling |
2 | | -\[L_1 + L_2 + L_3 = 2 \pi\] |
3 | | -\[\mathbb{E}[L_1] = \mathbb{E}[L_2] = \mathbb{E}[L_3] = \frac{2\pi}{3}\] |
4 | | -But our point is more likely to be a part of the longest arc. If there was a \(\frac{1}{3}\) chance of the point being in any one of the three points then \(\mathbb{E}[L] = \frac{2\pi}{3}\) |
| 1 | +(a) Let $\theta_1$, $\theta_2$ and $\theta_3$ be the angles corresponding to points A, B and C respectively. |
| 2 | +From the statement of the problem, those angles are i.i.d. $\mathrm{Unif}(0,2\pi)$. |
| 3 | + |
| 4 | +The angles $\theta_1$, $\theta_2$ and $\theta_3$ divide the $[0,2\pi)$ range in four successive sub-intervals. |
| 5 | +The argument is wrong because the problem is not symmetric with respect to the three arcs, but rather with respect to the four angle sub-intervals. |
| 6 | +The average length of each sub-interval is $2\pi/4=\pi/2$, by symmetry. |
| 7 | +The length of the arc that contains the point (1,0) is the sum of the first and fourth sub-intervals, so it is twice as long as the other arcs on average. \\ |
5 | 8 |
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6 | 9 | (b) |
7 | 10 | \[\theta_1 = \text{Unif}(0, 2\pi)\] |
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10 | 13 |
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11 | 14 | \[L_1 = \text{min} (\theta_1, \theta_2, \theta_3)\] |
12 | 15 | CDF, |
13 | | -\begin{flalign} |
| 16 | +\begin{flalign*} |
14 | 17 | F(y) & = 1 - P(\text{min}(\theta_1, \theta_2, \theta_3) > y) \\ |
15 | | - & = 1 - \frac{2\pi - y}{2\pi}^3 |
16 | | -\end{flalign} |
| 18 | + & = 1 - ( \frac{2\pi - y}{2\pi} )^3 \text{ , for } 0 \le y < 2\pi |
| 19 | +\end{flalign*} |
17 | 20 | PDF, |
18 | | -\begin{flalign} |
| 21 | +\begin{flalign*} |
19 | 22 | f(y) & = \frac{d}{dy} F(y) \\ |
20 | | - & = \frac{3}{2\pi} (1 - \frac{y}{2\pi})^2 |
21 | | -\end{flalign} |
| 23 | + & = \frac{3}{2\pi} (1 - \frac{y}{2\pi})^2 \text{ , for } 0 \le y < 2\pi |
| 24 | +\end{flalign*} |
22 | 25 |
|
23 | 26 | (c) |
24 | | -\begin{flalign} |
| 27 | +\begin{flalign*} |
25 | 28 | \mathbb{E}[L] & = 2 \mathbb{E}[L_1] \\ |
26 | 29 | & = 2 \int_{0}^{2\pi} y \frac{3}{2\pi} (1 - \frac{y}{2\pi})^2 dy \\ |
27 | | - & = \frac{3}{\pi} \int_{0}^{2\pi} y + \frac{y^3}{4\pi^2} - \frac{y^2}{\pi} dy \\ |
| 30 | + & = \frac{3}{\pi} \int_{0}^{2\pi} (y + \frac{y^3}{4\pi^2} - \frac{y^2}{\pi}) dy \\ |
28 | 31 | & = \frac{3}{\pi} [ \frac{4\pi^2}{2} + \frac{1}{4\pi^2} \frac{16\pi^4}{4} - \frac{1}{\pi} \frac{8\pi^3}{3}] \\ |
29 | 32 | & = \pi |
30 | | -\end{flalign} |
| 33 | +\end{flalign*} |
| 34 | + |
| 35 | +We can reach the same result from the qualitative explanation given in part (a): since $L$ is the sum of the first and fourth sub-intervals, where the length of each sub-interval is $\pi/2$ on average, $\mathbb{E}[L] = \pi/2+\pi/2 = \pi$. |
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