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Refactor model fitting into a ModelFitter class that can be separated from the function to calculate change rates (lambda).
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Lines changed: 359 additions & 224 deletions

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src/openpois/models/base_model.py

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src/openpois/models/event_rate.py

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# -------------------------------------------------------------
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# Copyright (c) Henry Spatial Analysis. All rights reserved.
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# Licensed under the MIT License. See LICENSE in project root for information.
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# -------------------------------------------------------------
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"""
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This module contains the EventRate class, which is used to store and calculate event rates
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for a given model of a Poisson process.
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"""
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import torch
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class EventRate:
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"""
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Stores and calculates event rates (lambda) for a given model of a Poisson process.
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If the event rate is constant, the event rate is a scalar, and change probabilities
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can be calculated directly. If the event rate is time-varying, then change
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probabilities have to be integrated over the time period.
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"""
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VALID_TYPES = ['constant', 'varying']
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def __init__(
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self,
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fun: callable,
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type: str = 'constant',
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delta: float = 0.02
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):
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"""
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Args:
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fun: Function to calculate the event rate. If `type` is "constant", this
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function will return a scalar. If `type` is "varying", this function will
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return a function `f(t)` that gives the event rate at time `t`.
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type: Type of event rate. Must be one of {self.VALID_TYPES}.
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delta: Time step for a time-varying event rate function. Only used if `type`
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is "varying".
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"""
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if type not in self.VALID_TYPES:
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raise ValueError(
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f"Invalid event rate type: {type}. Must be one of {self.VALID_TYPES}"
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)
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self.type = type
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self.fun = fun
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self.delta = delta
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def calculate_change_constant(self, t1: torch.Tensor, t2: torch.Tensor, **kwargs):
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"""
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Calculate the change probability for a constant event rate. Given lambda and a
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time period (t1, t2], the change probability is `lambda * (t2 - t1)`
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"""
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return (t2 - t1).reshape(-1, 1) * self.fun(**kwargs)
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def calculate_change_varying(self, t1: torch.Tensor, t2: torch.Tensor, **kwargs):
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"""
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Calculate the change probability for a varying event rate. Given a function `f(t)`
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that gives the event rate at time `t`, the change probability is the approximate
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integral from t1 to t2 of `f(t)`
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"""
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f = self.fun(**kwargs)
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t_range = torch.linspace(t1, t2, steps = max(2, int((t2 - t1) / self.delta) + 1))
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return torch.trapz(y = f(t_range), x = t_range)
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def calculate_change(self, t1: torch.Tensor, t2: torch.Tensor, **kwargs):
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"""
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Calculate the change probability between two time periods for this event rate.
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"""
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if self.type == 'constant':
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return self.calculate_change_constant(t1 = t1, t2 = t2, **kwargs)
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elif self.type == 'varying':
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return self.calculate_change_varying(t1 = t1, t2 = t2, **kwargs)
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else:
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raise ValueError(f"Invalid event rate type: {self.type}")

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