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39 | 39 | #' distribution, a practice derived for Gaussian linear models or |
40 | 40 | #' asymptotically, and which only applies to nested models in any case. |
41 | 41 | #' |
42 | | -#' The values in the `p_worse` column are computed using the normal |
43 | | -#' approximation and values from the columns `elpd_diff` and |
44 | | -#' `se_diff`. Sivula et al. (2025) discuss the conditions when the |
45 | | -#' normal approximation used for SE and `se_diff` is good, and the |
46 | | -#' column `diag_pnorm` contains possible diagnostic messages: 1) |
47 | | -#' small data (N < 100), 2) similar predictions (|elpd_diff| < 4), |
48 | | -#' or 3) possible outliers (khat > 0.5). |
| 42 | +#' The values in the `p_worse` column show the probabilities for models |
| 43 | +#' having worse ELPD than the best model. These probabilities are |
| 44 | +#' computed using the normal approximation and values from the |
| 45 | +#' columns `elpd_diff` and `se_diff`. Sivula et al. (2025) present |
| 46 | +#' the conditions when the normal approximation used for SE and |
| 47 | +#' `se_diff` is good, and the column `diag_pnorm` contains possible |
| 48 | +#' diagnostic messages: 1) small data (N < 100), 2) similar |
| 49 | +#' predictions (|elpd_diff| < 4), or 3) possible outliers (khat > 0.5). |
| 50 | +#' If any of these diagnostic messages is shown, the normal |
| 51 | +#' approximation is not well calibrated and the shown probabilities |
| 52 | +#' can be too large (small data or similar predictions) or too small |
| 53 | +#' (outliers). |
49 | 54 | #' |
50 | 55 | #' If more than \eqn{11} models are compared, we internally recompute the model |
51 | 56 | #' differences using the median model by ELPD as the baseline model. We then |
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