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---
title: "About Tom Cunningham"
image: IMG_0571.jpeg
about:
template: trestles
links:
- icon: twitter
text: Twitter
href: https://twitter.com/testingham
- icon: linkedin
text: LinkedIn
href: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tom-cunningham-a9433/
- icon: scholar
text: Scholar
href: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=MDB_DgkAAAAJ
---
**Economics/AI Research, [METR](https://metr.org) (ex-OpenAI).**
## Recent Talks
| | |
| ------------ | ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| Dec 11 2025 | Bay Area Tech-Economics seminar |
| Dec 5-6 2025 | [Zurich *Economics of AI* Keynote](https://lawecon.ethz.ch/conferences-workshops/workshop-in-ai-and-economics.html#:~:text=The%20Zurich%20Workshop%20in%20AI,economic%20analysis%20of%20AI%20technologies.) |
| Nov 25 2025 | Bank of England *Methods Seminar* |
| Oct 24 2025 | Chicago *Center for Applied AI* seminar |
| Oct 23 2025 | Yale *Research in Motion* seminar |
| Sep 15 2025 | Stanford lab talk, Erik Brynjolfsson lab |
| | |
<!-- **Resident fellow at the [Integrity Institute](https://integrityinstitute.org).** -->
## [Blog](./index.html)
## [Resume](./resume-tom-cunningham.pdf)
## Working Papers
- 2025: **[How People use ChatGPT](https://www.nber.org/papers/w34255)**, with Aaron Chatterji, David J. Deming, Zoe Hitzig, Christopher Ong, Carl Yan Shan & Kevin Wadman.
- 2023: **[Implicit Preferences](https://jondequidt.com/pdfs/paper_implicit.pdf)**, with Jon de Quidt.
- 2019: **[Interpreting Experiments with Multiple Outcomes](https://joshkim.org/files/InterpretingExperiments.pdf)** (presented at CODE 2019) with Josh Kim.
- 2015: **[Biases and Implicit Knowledge](https://scholar.google.com/citations?view_op=view_citation&hl=en&user=MDB_DgkAAAAJ&citation_for_view=MDB_DgkAAAAJ:WF5omc3nYNoC)**
- 2015: **[Equilibrium Persuasion](https://www.dropbox.com/s/75vv79wbwn4mcb7/CM-15-03-10.pdf?dl=0)** with Ines Moreno de Barreda.
- 2013: **[Comparisons and Choice](https://scholar.google.com/citations?view_op=view_citation&hl=en&user=MDB_DgkAAAAJ&citation_for_view=MDB_DgkAAAAJ:d1gkVwhDpl0C)**
- 2013: **[Relative Thinking and Markups](https://www.dropbox.com/s/gbrvbqg727v9h91/paper_markups.pdf?dl=0)**
## Publications
- 2025: **[Ranking by Engagement and Non-Engagement Signals: Learnings from Industry](https://nyaspubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/nyas.15399)**, with Sana Pandey, Leif Sigerson, Jonathan Stray, Jeff Allen, Bonnie Barrilleaux, Ravi Iyer, Mohit Kothari, Behnam Rezaei, Sanjay Kairam, Smitha Milli.
- 2019: **[Improving Treatment Effect Estimators Through Experiment Splitting](https://research.fb.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Improving-Treatment-Effect-Estimators-Through-Experiment-Splitting.pdf)**, *WWW*, with Dominic Coey.
- 2013: **[The Incumbency Effects of Signalling](https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/ecca.12060)** *Economica*, with Ines Moreno de Barreda, Francesco Caselli, and Massimo Morelli.
- 2009: **[Leader Behaviour and the Natural Resource Curse](https://academic.oup.com/oep/article-abstract/61/4/628/2362031)** *Oxford Economic Papers*, with Francesco Caselli.
## Miscellaneous
- 2010: **["LSE CEP 2010 Election Analysis: Macroeconomics and Public Finance"](http://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/ea013.pdf)** (with Ethan Ilzetski)
**Comment pieces for the Guardian (2008/2009)**
- [Don't worry about inflation](http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/oct/12/inflation-economy)
- [The great financial stitch-up](http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/oct/26/creditcrunch-economics)
- [The rate cut wasn't big enough](http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/jan/09/interest-rates-inflation-targets)
- [Stuck in the middle](http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/jan/27/asset-prices-slump)
- [We need to outgrow our debt](http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/feb/18/inflation-recession)
- [You say inflation, I say deflation](http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/feb/26/inflation-consumer-price-index)
- [Confidently predicting darker days](https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2009/apr/08/economy-recession)
<!-- Search Monster
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Growth since 1600
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LSE Friday night macro group
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Decisions, Games & Logic 2007
(June 07) A theory of fallacies (presentation for DGL 2007).
(1998) Stove's Gem & the Fallacy of Equivocation -->