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_freeze/posts/2026-01-29-knowledge-creating-llms/execute-results/html.json

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<div class="thumbnail"><a href="./posts/2026-01-29-knowledge-creating-llms.html" class="no-external">
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<p class="card-img-top"><img src="posts/2026-01-29-knowledge-creating-llms_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-1-1.png" class="thumbnail-image card-img"/></p>

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<p>Thanks to Zoë Hitzig &amp; Parker Whitfill for helpful comments.</p>
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<p>Thanks to Zoë Hitzig &amp; Parker Whitfill, among others, for helpful comments.</p>
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<dt>It’s useful to make a distinction between two types of LLMs:</dt>
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<p><strong>Knowledge-sharing LLMs.</strong> Traditionally LLMs have been trained with human judgment as the ground truth, as a consequence they rarely exhibit superhuman performance. Their economic value mainly comes from sharing existing knowledge, and the natural business model is to sell access broadly.</p>
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<p><strong>Knowledge-creating LLMs.</strong> Recently LLMs have been trained against the real world, as a consequence they can extend the limits of human knowledge. The demand for new knowledge is different from the demand for old knowledge, and there’s reason to expect LLM-creators to sell access <em>exclusively</em>.</p>
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<p>Obviously it’s a continuum but we’re clearly setting out on the trajectory from the first to the second, and I haven’t seen much discussion of the implications. Below I give a longer discussion of this distinction, implications for IP, and a galaxy-brain theory that there are only a few dozen deep problems in the world. I’m working on a more formal economic model.</p>
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<p>Obviously it’s a continuum but we’re clearly setting out on the trajectory from the first to the second, and I haven’t seen much discussion of the implications. I expect that the 2026 impacts of AI will be dominated by these considerations.</p>
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<p>Below I give a longer discussion of this distinction, implications for IP, and a galaxy-brain theory that there are only a few dozen deep problems in the world. I sketch some considerations for a more formal economic model.</p>
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<meta name="twitter:title" content="Knowledge-Creating LLMs | Tom Cunningham">
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<p>Thanks to Zoë Hitzig &amp; Parker Whitfill for helpful comments.</p>
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<p>Thanks to Zoë Hitzig &amp; Parker Whitfill, among others, for helpful comments.</p>
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<dt>It’s useful to make a distinction between two types of LLMs:</dt>
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<p><strong>Knowledge-sharing LLMs.</strong> Traditionally LLMs have been trained with human judgment as the ground truth, as a consequence they rarely exhibit superhuman performance. Their economic value mainly comes from sharing existing knowledge, and the natural business model is to sell access broadly.</p>
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<p><strong>Knowledge-creating LLMs.</strong> Recently LLMs have been trained against the real world, as a consequence they can extend the limits of human knowledge. The demand for new knowledge is different from the demand for old knowledge, and there’s reason to expect LLM-creators to sell access <em>exclusively</em>.</p>
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<p>Obviously it’s a continuum but we’re clearly setting out on the trajectory from the first to the second, and I haven’t seen much discussion of the implications. Below I give a longer discussion of this distinction, implications for IP, and a galaxy-brain theory that there are only a few dozen deep problems in the world. I’m working on a more formal economic model.</p>
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<p>Obviously it’s a continuum but we’re clearly setting out on the trajectory from the first to the second, and I haven’t seen much discussion of the implications. I expect that the 2026 impacts of AI will be dominated by these considerations.</p>
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<p>Below I give a longer discussion of this distinction, implications for IP, and a galaxy-brain theory that there are only a few dozen deep problems in the world. I sketch some considerations for a more formal economic model.</p>
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