autosave: 2026-02-22 20:24:48

Author: tecunningham

2026-02-22-ai-cost-curves.qmd

@@ -9,6 +9,16 @@ execute:
   cache: true # caches chunk output
 ---
 
+Observatinons:
+
+1. Generally, agents are cheaper but less capable.
+2. Can simplify to say agents are free, without much loss.
+3. We can see three types of growth: (A) cheaper inference; (B) ; 
+4. This theory maps exactly to time horizon. 
+5. Can derive these curves from a theory (???).
+
+
+
 It's super useful to draw plots showing achievement vs expenditure for humans vs computers, like this:
 
 ```{tikz}