autosave: 2026-04-14 12:28:56

Author: tecunningham

posts/2026-04-12-taking-agi-literally.qmd

@@ -130,11 +130,12 @@ Other examples
 
 
 
-#       Litearture
+#       Literature
 
 
     - @aghion2019artificial say (1) progressively automating tasks can be consistent with ordinary growth rates if each task is a strong complement; (2) in contrast progressively automating R&D tasks could cause explosive growth.
     - @davidson2021could give arguments for explosive growth from AGI.
+    - In 2023 Matt Clancy and Tamay Besiroglu debated [AI and explosive growth in Asterisk](https://asteriskmag.com/issues/03/the-great-inflection-a-debate-about-ai-and-explosive-growth). Matt Clancy's arguments: (a) slow automation of tasks; (b) bottlenecks from experiments; (c) bottlenecks from regulation.
     - @erdil2024explosive give arguments for explosive growth from AGI.
-    - [Sam Hammond](https://www.secondbest.ca/p/the-limits-of-explosive-growth) replies to Davidson and Erdil, but found the arguments difficult to follow. He spends a lot of time on the returns to scale in R&D, assuming that we can't get much more efficient than we already are (which would be somewhat surprising), but I didn't feel he directly addressed the increase in effective labor supply. The arguments about bounded utility didn't seem relevant.
+    - [Sam Hammond](https://www.secondbest.ca/p/the-limits-of-explosive-growth) replies to Davidson and Erdil, but I found his arguments difficult to follow. He spends a lot of time on the returns to R&D, assuming that we can't get much more efficient than we already are (which would be somewhat surprising), but I didn't feel he directly addressed the increase in effective labor supply. The arguments about bounded utility didn't seem relevant.